Chapter 218: Have their own calculations

St. Petersburg
The tsarist government was in a dilemma. Austria's expansion was too fast. We must find a way to contain it.
However, the Russian-Austrian alliance cannot be broken. Austria is the only significant ally of the Tsarist government on the European continent and must not be lost.
Now that Austria is not expanding beyond the scope of the treaty, they cannot find any excuse for interference.
This has nothing to do with credibility, as long as the interests are appropriate, the tsarist government does not care about selling teammates.
Obviously, the current benefits are not enough for the Czar to sell teammates. Even if Britain and France abandon the Ottoman Empire, the Tsarist government will not be able to tear up the Russian-Olympic covenant.
The reason is very simple. The Near East War awakened the Tsarist government and made them understand that they were not as powerful as expected. Since it's not strong enough, you need allies.
Throughout the world, there are only a handful of countries qualified to be Russian allies, and the traditional allies of Austria are reliable.
Instability in Spain, Isabel II was still busy fighting, unable to intervene in European affairs. Such an ally would not have been sent to Nicholas I.
The British and French guys are strong, but are you fighting? Undoubtedly, Akira's enemies can become allies?
If you look at it again, the Prussian kingdom is left as a quasi-power. Leaving aside the contradictions between the two sides, let ’s not mention it. The Russians who are allied with the Prussian kingdom obviously have to suffer.
When help is needed, the Prussians are powerless; in turn, they must always support Prussia.
Finding allies is because of common interests and cannot achieve what they need, and alliances are impossible to talk about. This is also the reason for the collapse of the Nordic Three Court system.
Foreign Minister Karl Vosel said with anxiety: "His Majesty, the voice of unity in the German region is very high, and Bavarian nationalism is not the most fanatical, they have all supported Austria's unification war with actual actions.
It is estimated that other states are not much better. Except for the Kingdom of Prussia, other states are likely to be induced by Austrians by political means.
Now the Prussians are also frightened and dare not send troops to interfere in this war. The German Unification War, which we had envisioned, has now become an armed march in Austria.
If we don't intervene, Britain and France are afraid that they will not be able to stop Austria's next move. "
Allies also need to watch out. Austria is developing too fast and it is not a good thing for the Russians.
Chancellor of the Treasury Aristanli Rhode objected: "We cannot directly intervene in this German reunification war. The Russian-Olympic Treaty has demarcated the sphere of influence of the two countries, and we cannot Breach of contract.
The enemies of the Russian Empire were British and French Ottomans. If they intervened in this war, they would only be cheap for our enemies. Without the support of Austria, we would not be able to fight the Near East War immediately.
The Austrian threat is only possible, and this is based on their unification of the German region. Now their chances of unifying the German region are still very small, at least the Prussian kingdom has not yet yielded.
Moreover, this threat is not just for us. The French should be the most worried now. Austria has unified the German region, and the threat to them is the biggest. "
Geopolitics determines the strategic threat of each country. The British Isles are isolated from the European continent, and the British threat can only come from the sea. After the reunification of the German region, the first is the French, and the second is Russia.
"No, Mr. Astanley Rhode, you have misunderstood. Intervention in this war and compliance with the covenant are not mutually contradictory. As long as we support the Austrians to obtain the agreed site, it is not a violation of the covenant.
This matter allows Britain and France to do this villain, we do not need to directly conflict with Austria. Karl-Wasser explained
Aristanli Rhode asked uncertainly: "You mean to split the German region and completely break the road to unification in the German region?"
Karl-Wasser replied affirmatively: "Yes, it has been proven that after the awakening of nationalism, if the German region is not divided, it will sooner or later unify.
It's too late to stop now. If it is later, the kingdom of Prussia will also be dominated by public opinion. We just want to stop them from unifying! "
"What specific plans do you have?" Nicholas I asked with interest.
Karl-Wollsell analyzed: "Your Majesty, this plan also needs British and French contributions and cannot be proposed by us, which will affect Russia-Olympic relations.
According to the current situation, it is not a big problem for the Austrians to get the South German region. If Britain and France are willing to stop them, they can be allowed to do this evil.
Prussia can obtain a certain expansion in North Germany. The duchy of Schleswig and Holstein were assigned to the Danes, and the states in the west could merge with Belgium and the Netherlands.
Of course, the West Germans don't care about us, so the British themselves have a headache. It does not matter whether it is for Prussia, Belgium or the Netherlands, or independence.
As long as these economically developed regions are not annexed by Austria, their strength will not skyrocket. After the German division, Austria's expansion was blocked, and then they could only compete for overseas colonies.
This is bound to conflict with Britain and France. After having a common enemy, the relationship between the Russian and Austrian alliances is expected to go further. "
Solving the problem once and for all is indeed the best choice. As long as the German region is completely divided, no country on the European continent can threaten the security of the Russian Empire.
At least for the moment, it is not clear which country has the power to threaten Russia. Even the French who were most jealous of the Tsarist government are not as scary as they were in Napoleon's time.
...
Paris
The situation changed too quickly, and Napoleon III's plan to sit on the tiger's seat before he could start had already died.
The states of the German region all acted as ostriches, as if the Bavarian government was really sinful, and Austria's overthrow of their rule was widely expected.
Well, with information from Bavaria, Napoleon III had to admit that Austria was indeed the one to be expected this time.
This means that Austria's annexation of Bavaria will be easy. From beginning to end, there will be an armed march with no more than three-digit casualties. With a good public foundation, there will be no problems in the future.
Napoleon III cursed, "Everyone knows the news from the German region.
The situation is completely out of control, and if we do n’t take action anymore, maybe it wo n’t be long before Austria can rebuild the Roman Empire.
If you don't want to see the monster that has troubled France for hundreds of years, then find a way to strangle them now! "
The Minister of the Interior Persini proposed: "Your Majesty, we must be prepared to intervene in the present situation. Given the current situation in the German region, these states will not become our allies.
Austria's strength is not weak. For the sake of insurance, it is best to work with Britain and Russia. The most important thing now is to coordinate diplomatic relations and ensure that the powers are in the same position. "
Persini was the mastermind of Napoleon III, including the restoration plan. He may not be good at governing the country, but he is definitely a master at playing power.
Obviously he was persuading Napoleon III not to interfere in the war. When he said it, it became a diplomatic need.
It also vaguely reminded Napoleon III that France's main force is still on the Near East battlefield and the domestic military strength is empty. If the troops are sent out, they will contribute to the enemy's record.
There is no way. The whole nation in the Napoleonic era is a thing of the past. The current French empire cannot keep up with Prussia in terms of mobilization speed.
There are not enough troops in the hands, and they jumped out to interfere by force. Isn't that a joke?
Napoleon III asked with concern: "How long will it take us to have enough troops to interfere in this war?"
Secretary of the Army Arnold thought for a while and said, "Sir, because of the Near East War, our standing army has now exceeded 800,000, and a large number of reserve forces have been recruited.
There are 280,000 on the Crimean Peninsula, 200,000 in Constantinople, and 154,000 in overseas colonies. There are only less than 170,000 troops in the country.
Now we can mobilize 150,000 young people to join the army every month. These recruits need at least three months of training before they can be put on the battlefield.
If we want to interfere in this war alone, it will take at least half a year before we have enough troops. "
Napoleon III completely lost the idea of ​​going it alone. This was all a good thing of the July dynasty. During the Louis-Philippe period, France's standing army was usually more than 200,000, and the system of all people was deserted.
After Napoleon III came to power, the army was expanded to 800,000. Where there are so many reserve forces can be recruited directly.
There is no shortage of young people of the right age in France, but these people can not go to the battlefield without picking up weapons, and they must also have some training.
The three-month basic training is actually the cannon fodder in the cannon fodder, and the combat effectiveness is poor. This unreliable army did not dare take Napoleon III to the battlefield.
This is not to say that the French's ability to mobilize is really poor. Everyone is similar in this era. Before Franz's reform of the military system, Austria's ability to mobilize was similar to that of the French.
In this era, the three countries that can quickly mobilize 800,000 troops out of Europe are Russia, France, and Austria. Of course, there are still many countries that can gather the number, but there is no way to guarantee the combat effectiveness.
Seeing autumn leaves and knowing autumn, according to the situation in France, Napoleon III quickly came to the conclusion that this time the military intervention was difficult to continue.
Unless the Austrians really want to unify Germany, everyone will be anxious. Britain, France, Russia, and the other three countries took back the fighting forces, otherwise there would not be enough troops in everyone's hands.
His judgement was correct. The British gave up the force intervention plan for the first time because the British Army could not come up with a sufficiently large force.
...
While all countries were preparing, Franz was not idle, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs was busy, and public relations were opened throughout the European continent.
Even Switzerland, which had vengeance with the Habsburg dynasty, did not let go of hatred. Since the declaration of permanent neutrality at the Vienna Conference in 1815, relations between the two countries have normalized.
Of course, this is not the focus of public relations in Austria, it is just routine and shows the attitude to the Swiss government.
Unless Switzerland is willing to abandon its neutral position, they will not be able to participate in this war, and in fact they will not be able to participate.
Switzerland in this era is not yet a developed country in later generations. As a mountain country, it is naturally indispensable before completing industrialization.
Except for the states in the Flicker Germany region, the biggest public relations object is actually the French. The Russians can't count, this was done in advance, and now they just continue to maintain communication.
It's not that Franz doesn't want to do British jobs. The problem is that John Bull is too smart and Austria has no interest to buy them.
Instead, they are French. Everyone has a common language and can pay for it at a certain price. If he cuts meat on his own, Franz is painful, so he can only be generous to others.
...
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