Chapter 849: Russian strategic choice

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St. Petersburg, since receiving news of the alliance between Britain and France, Alexander III could not sit still.
Originally, he expected to draw the French and gather the power of France, Russia, Austria and Austria to attack the British. He did not expect that the situation would be reversed so quickly.
Alexander III asked expectantly, "Is the news confirmed?"
Deep down, he hoped that this was just a rumor.
Once the British and French allies, the Austrian navy is incapable of fighting against the British and French joint forces, and the Vienna government cannot be able to fight the navy and the two countries.
The ongoing arms race between Britain, France and Austria is about to end.
The Vienna government ’s previous promise to use arms race to contain the British would naturally become a slack.
Although at the beginning, Austria was not prepared to perform the contract and prepared an excuse, the Russians did not know.
After all, the credibility of the Vienna government is good enough, and the contract has not been breached for so many years, and Alexander III never doubted it.
After the arms race is over, the Russian Empire will face a wealthy and powerful Britain.
Because of the alliance between Britain and France, Austria will also be pinned by France, and the Russian Empire can only stand alone against the British.
Foreign Secretary Oscar Jimenez replied: "The news has been verified. British Foreign Secretary George arrived in Paris as early as half a month ago, and the two countries are negotiating an alliance.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has ordered the embassy in Paris to pay close attention to the negotiation process, and any news will be sent back immediately. "
Stop, interfere, destroy?
These are non-existent. Britain and France are one of the most powerful countries in the world. They don't care about the attitude of the Russians at all.
Knowing the impossible, the Russians will naturally not humiliate themselves. Apart from paying close attention, there is not much that the Tsarist government can do now.
"Ugh!"
After a sigh, Alexander III slowly asked, "We can't stop the alliance between Britain and France. We have lost the best fighter. Do you think the Central Asian strategy should continue?"
In essence, at this time, the war in Central Asia was provoked. In addition to the rescue of allies in Afghanistan, more was to pick up the bargain.
According to the plan, the Tsarist government plans to take back Central Asia during the arms race between the three countries, pushing the border into Afghanistan.
There is no plan to go south to India. This is not that the tsarist government has no ambitions for India. The key is that the current Russian empire does not yet have the strength to conquer India.
Army Secretary Paradrew Wald: "Of course we have to continue! Even with the alliance between Britain and France, the French cannot send troops to help the British.
As long as we are fast enough to capture the Blaha Khanate before the British annihilated Afghanistan, the initiative of the war is in our hands.
If we miss this opportunity and let the British destroy Afghanistan, in the future we want to seize Central Asia, the price we need to pay is even greater.
Moreover, we have to consider international influence. Just concluded an alliance with Afghanistan and immediately sold them. What does our allies think? "
Against the British Army, the Russian military is still confident.
Today is different from the past. Although the Russian Empire suffered heavy losses in the two Russian-Russian wars, the Russians also launched an elite force.
The most important thing is that it is difficult for the British government to make up its mind to invest millions of main forces and compete with the Russian Empire for Central Asia.
Just the Indian colonial army, that is to let the Russian army hang. This unstressed tailwind has always been the favorite of the Russian military.
Alexander III nodded, the international reputation of the Russian Empire was already very bad, and it was absolutely necessary, he did not want to bear the infamy of betraying his allies.
Not to mention that later generations of Russians often betrayed their allies, but this year the tsarist government seldom betrayed allies, at least not in recent decades.
Of course, the most important factor is that the profit from selling allies is too small, and the price is too high, which is generally not cost-effective.
This time is no exception, it is easy to betray Afghanistan, but Austrian thought, they have to be scrupulous.
Imagine that in the past, Alexander II had fought against the Prussians for his Danish allies.
Despite the heavy losses, it also earned a reputation for the tsarist government. Laid a solid foundation for the continuation of the Russian-Austrian League, at least the Tsarist Government thinks so.
After all, the Russian-Austrian League could not bring too much benefit to Austria in the early 1990s. Instead, the tsarist government benefited greatly from it.
Seeing the tsar's intention to move, the anti-war finance minister Alisher Gulov hurriedly opposed: "Marquis, you see the problem too one-sided.
Central Asia has a vast territory, and those three Central Asian Khanates have enemies with us, and it is simply impossible to surrender.
Even if our army progresses smoothly on the battlefield, it is impossible to settle Central Asia in just a few months.
But the Kingdom of Afghanistan is different. The British need only two regiments to compromise the Afghan government.
Everyone knows the topography of the Afghan region. If the British first took control of the Afghan region, the subsequent war would not be easy to fight.
As long as the war cannot be ended in a short time, it will eventually become a war of attrition. The British are backed by India, which has to be consumed by manpower, financial resources and us.
Although the empire's finances have improved in recent years, this is only temporary.
The agricultural crisis is approaching. Based on the analysis of the intelligence collected, the Ministry of Finance estimates that grain export earnings will be reduced by 11% this year, and more will be reduced next year.
The British were not dragged down by the arms race, and the empire could not compete with them financially. Persevere in this war that cannot be seen, and the final result can only be high debt.
In view of the current complex international situation, the Ministry of Finance proposes to use diplomatic means to resolve the conflict in Central Asia and try to maintain the status quo. "
There is no way, the Central Asian Three Khanates used to be attached to the tsarist government. But the Russians have too much appetite to eat them. In the first Russian-Russian war, it was countered by the British.
Some things can't be turned back. Since you have become a traitor, you can only die with the Russians.
This means that it is impossible for the Central Asian region to go down in a battle. With the support of the British behind, the possibility of the war continuing is very high.
In contrast, the Afghan government has been optimistic. What is a semi-slavery and semi-feudal agricultural country fighting against the British?
The methods used by John Bull are both diplomatic and military, and the possibility of forcing the Afghan government to compromise is very high.
There are too many similar success stories.
In fact, the original Afghan government also chose to compromise, but the British had a big appetite and were ready to swallow them.
Without any accident, the British army broke down the Afghan government very easily. Then it was unexpectedly discovered that Afghanistan without a government is more terrible.
This point has also been verified by the future generations of the United States and Soviet Union. Defeat Afghanistan is very simple, the trouble is to rule Afghanistan.
It has not been verified yet. All you see is the power of the Afghan government. The two regular British regiments are more than enough.
The military issue is still a minor one. As long as there is money, the tsarist government is fearless.
If you open the history book, you will find that financial resources are the biggest weakness of the Russian Empire. Except for a certain period, the Russian government has no shortage of money.
Because agricultural taxes allow the payment of real goods, grain exports have become the most important income of the Tsarist government, accounting for more than half of the total export trade.
This agricultural crisis is the game of the boss, the second, and the third. As the fourth in Europe's largest raw grain exporter, the Russians were completely incapable of suffering.
The decrease in grain export earnings does not mean that the total amount of grain exported has decreased, but that international food prices have fallen.
In any case, the British food self-sufficiency plan and the French ranch plan still have some results.
Although the total amount of food imported by the two countries has dropped by only a marginal percentage point or two per year, the reaction to the international food sales market is still terrifying.
The market as a whole is in excess of supply, and natural grain trading prices naturally fell sharply. The price of food fell, and the Tsarist government's purse could only be injured.
Without money, you cannot afford to fight. In this context, the Chancellor of the Treasury, who is in charge of the government's money bag, passively became the leader of the anti-war faction in the Russian government.
Paradru Wald, the army secretary, was unimpressed: "The government's finances have deteriorated, so this war is even more necessary.
As long as our plan goes smoothly, we will first seize Central Asia and then capture India in the future, all problems will be solved.
The problem of insufficient government financial resources to launch this war is only temporary, and the Ministry of Finance can find ways to raise funds.
Without this war, we will never be able to escape financial difficulties. "
There is no problem. The wealth that the British plunder from India every year is higher than the tsarist government's financial income.
If India were to be captured, the financial difficulties faced by the Tsarist government could indeed be solved.
Perhaps it was because of the hardship in the westward movement that no one wanted to come back for the second time. The Russian military basically went south to supporters of India.
This view has no shortage of supporters in the Tsarist government.
After all, to implement the strategy of going south to seize India, the enemy to be faced is only the British; while the strategy of going west to Europe, the enemy to be faced is all European countries.
For the British, even if they fail, the price they need to pay is very limited.
No matter how the British hang out, it is impossible to enter Siberia along Central Asia all the way. They have a chance to make a comeback.
Moving westward into Europe is different. In the event of a mistake in operation and a group attack by European countries, the consequences will be much more serious.
In the worst case, the loss will be heavy, and there will be a serious injury and hemiplegia. In the worst case, the country may be directly destroyed.
In this respect, the Russian-Russian war is meaningful to the European world. Wake up the greedy polar bear and make outstanding contributions to peace and stability in the European world.
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