Chapter 850: Limited war liability

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The two major camps in Europe are at odds, but they are most worried about but not the four parties. Both Russia, Austria, Britain and France have their own advantages, enough to protect themselves.
The really unlucky is the small country sandwiched between the two major alliances. Now that the conflict between the two camps has not intensified, everyone can still cope with it.
Once the conflict between the two sides escalates, everyone will be forced to stand in line. In fact, geopolitics has already decided the direction of each country's station, and they simply cannot tolerate their own choice.
Countries in Western Europe can only support Britain and France, countries in Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, and Southern Europe must support Russia and Austria. Countries in Central Europe are the most hard pressed, and they do n’t know what to choose at all.
neutral?
For the time being, there is no problem. Once the two alliances meet, they become the earliest victims.
No matter which side you fall to, you will be beaten hard by the other side. Especially the hardship of Belgium, the poor strategic position determines that they can not be alone.
Of course, this is the worst ending. In a short period of time, the two major alliances have not seen any signs of war.
Leopold II, who had a strong sense of anxiety, could no longer sit still. Originally both Britain and Austria were quasi allies of Belgium, and everyone resisted the French expansion to Central Europe.
Now that the situation has fundamentally changed, and Britain and France have formed an alliance, then is it still effective for the British to promise to protect Belgium?
Foreign Minister Jules said cautiously: "Your Majesty, the Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs sent a note to invite us to conclude a treaty for the maintenance of peace and stability in Europe with Switzerland, the Federal Republic of Germany and Spain."
When you open the map, you know that the above countries are good neighbors of the French. After excluding the French, it was self-evident to conclude such a treaty.
This can be seen as a counterattack against the alliance between Britain and France. Austria is preparing to prove with practical actions that the French can be contained without British participation.
Leopold II asked in doubt: "The Austrians have only invited four countries to participate, there are no countries that continue to invite?"
Theoretically, the above-mentioned four countries must all face the threat of the French, and it is easiest to move closer to Austria if they have painful skin.
However, "anti-law" has always been a matter common to European countries, not a single country. The sudden change made Leopold II difficult to accept.
Foreign Minister Juul replied affirmatively: "Austria did invite only the four of us. It is said that the Vienna government is worried that other countries have no pain, and the position of curbing the French is not firm. damage.
Perhaps in the opinion of the Vienna government, it is enough for the five countries to join forces to curb the French expansion to the outside world. "
This is also the view of most people. Although France is strong, it has not opened a qualitative gap with Austria. After the four countries of Sibirede, the anti-French alliance has stabilized.
Compared to an internally divided alliance, it is better to be a small alliance that has common interests and can cooperate with each other.
Prime Minister August sighed: "If this is the case, then we will be in big trouble next.
Without the participation of European countries in sharing pressure, the pro-French Spanish government will probably not participate. After all, the possibility of the French going west is almost zero, and their pressure is not great.
Because of the geographical location of Switzerland, their position is essentially unimportant. If the Swiss government insists on neutrality, Austria will probably not be forced.
Choosing between France and Austria, the North German Commonwealth must support Austria. Even if Britain and France form an alliance, they will be more inclined to Austria.
Because of its strength, within a short period of time, the North German Confederation also has temporarily neutral strength.
As long as the two major alliances do not fight, they can act as a buffer between Fao, without having to explicitly stand in line.
The seemingly tentative invitation is actually forcing us to stand in line. Between Russia, Austria, Britain and France, we must choose one side. "
Nothing is more tragic than this. Others may hide, and the hard-pressed Belgium cannot escape.
There is no way for the French to plot Belgium ’s ambitions, they always need people to contain them.
The British and Austrian countries were originally responsible for this important task. Now that the British have turned to form alliances with the French, it is only Austria that can continue to contain the French ambitions.
Now that Austria is rejected, Belgium will have to fight alone in the future when it encounters a French invasion.
As for the British, we really have no confidence. Even if the London government is willing to intervene and wait for the completion of the expansion of the British Army, Belgium is obsolete.
After hesitating again and again, Leopold II said slowly: "We can sign the conditions for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to send someone to Austria to jointly defend against the French, but the prerequisite is strict confidentiality.
Austria doesn't care about offending the French, we don't have the patience to cause trouble. Remember that in the content of the treaty, Austria must provide us with security protection.
At the same time, sending people to strengthen our ties with the Federal Republic of Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and other countries has really reached a critical moment. Their position is also very important. "
It is also compelling for Belgium to fall to Austria, and now it is the French who are ambitious towards them, not Austria, which is hundreds of miles apart.
Joining the Anglo-French side is to seek a hide with the tiger. The identity of an ally is worthless in the face of interests. If one operation is not good, it will be swallowed up.
Choosing to sign a secret contract is actually Leopold II's hedging strategy.
It is best to be able to hide from the sky and cross the sea. It is really impossible to hide from the past, to be exposed one day later, and to take risks one day later.
...
Compared with Belgium, the North German Confederation is more lively, and the opposition supports are not enough.
It's very secretive in the first place, and the result will not wait for a dispute to come out, and the news is already flying.
There is no accident. When things are on the table, it also means that Austria's plan to pull together has failed.
Under the pressure of Britain and France, Spain and Switzerland have rejected the proposal of the Vienna government. As for Belgium, it is only secretly contacting, and the Belgian government dare not stand in line.
...
Franz did not feel surprised when news of the failure came. No one is a fool. Austria is now engaged in an anti-French alliance. In essence, it is pulling cannon fodder, and it can't deceive smart people at all.
With the recovery of the French economy, the voices of the main domestic factions are growing louder.
The military headed by the aristocrats wanted to achieve war power, and the capitalists wanted to solve the problem of coal supply, which happened to be solved by war.
Otherwise, the British would not throw a bait, and the French government would be willing to give up a century of hatred between the two countries-alliance.
Foreign Minister Weisenberg produced a document saying, "Your Majesty, this is the initial result of negotiations with the Belgian government. The biggest problem at present is the distribution of rights and obligations.
The Belgian government pretended to be insufficient in its own strength and was only willing to assume part of the responsibility for the war.
Only when the French invade Central Europe, they will send troops to the war.
If there is a war between us and the French in Italy, Belgium only promises to provide material assistance, and apparently they must remain neutral. "
Limited responsibility for war actually means not taking responsibility for war.
Opening the map of Europe shows that the best route for the French to invade Central Europe is to borrow from Belgium.
The enemy has hit the door, even if there is no joint defense treaty, Belgium can only stand on the top of its head.
It seems that Austria has suffered a bit, but this is actually a relatively fair treaty.
As far as Belgian size is concerned, if Fao starts in the Italian region, they will not be effective if they join.
The French can defeat them with a partial division, and Austria will inevitably send troops to rescue.
The greatest value in attracting Belgium is not to expect how strong and effective the Belgian fighting force will be.
The main reason is that after the Austrian army has the upper hand on the battlefield, they can drive in directly from Belgium and obtain a strategic initiative.
Without much hesitation, Franz made a decision: "Accept their request, but add a request for borrowing.
If we and the French break out of war, when we need to borrow a way, as allies they must let go and help maintain the logistics.
In return, after the victory of the war, their spoils also have their share. The disputed territories of France and Belgium can all belong to them. "
No one will write an empty check. Anyway, the promise is to go out to French territory. If Belgium has an appetite, they will be given away.
Not only Belgium, but in fact, if any ally joins, Franz does not mind that they get a piece of land in France.
When dealing with the enemy, it is natural to weaken it. The Franco-Prussian War of the original time and space failed to end perfectly, but it did not weaken France in a real sense.
Regardless of whether it is to make a payment or to mow the ground, it can only make people feel painful, and it can't kill them at all.
If the Kingdom of Prussia was more flexible in its diplomacy at that time, and suddenly lived in Spain, Belgium, Switzerland, Italy and other countries, and pulled everyone together to split up the stolen goods, perhaps the ending will be very different.
When all the neighbors took advantage, everyone was on the same front. As a winner, no one wants to see the enemy revive again.
At that time, it was everyone who joined forces to suppress France. No matter how powerful the Parisian government is, it can't withstand so many enemies.
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