Chapter 993: Political economic account

"The politics of God!" Jen Nuozhu casually agreed, after thinking about it, and then asked: "The U.S. people are willing to spit out the US$14 billion in assets and return it to Ipos, just to exchange 6... Oh, No, there are only 5 living hostages left now?"
"How is it possible that you are stupid as a U.S. national, and you spit it out. Then you will lose a bargaining chip for the Persians in the future? And this is not the only condition. Part of it came out because I wanted Ibos to cooperate with them to do another thing."
"One of these two families scolded each other as "Big Satan", and the other scolded each other as "terrorists." How many years can they work together to do the same thing? This is really strange, what's the matter?"
"Dumping crude oil into the market desperately with a price lower than $15 a barrel."
"...I don't understand, what do you mean?"
Tan Zhenhua suddenly complained: "I said Brother Zhan, read more books, read more newspapers, analyze the international situation when you are fine, don't just worry about my little money all day long?"
"It's OK, knowing that your brain is so good, you explain to me the truth."
Reluctantly, Tan Zhenhua had to spend a lot of time to explain in detail to Zhan Nuozhu the origins of the upcoming "oil war" which is related to the future global political and economic trends, and finally concluded: "Tutor I said that economy is the foundation, politics is the superstructure, and war is the product of irreconcilable contradictions, but I have to add that the current form of war is not limited to guns and guns. It is now all-weather and all-round. , All fields, all the time, everywhere."
Zhan Nuozhu rubbed his chin for a long time before he said: "Zhenhua, you have some truth in what you said. It is reasonable for the Americans to pay a price to attack the Soviets and let the Persians take advantage of it."
Tan Zhenhua said angrily: "I said Brother Zhan, how can you not count it? Who said that the Americans paid the price? He is obviously the one who has the most advantage, OK?"
"...Uh, what do you say?"
Tan Zhenhua looked like he hated iron but not steel, and said: "Fortunately, you didn’t go into business, or you had to lose your life... I’ll settle an account for you: according to the current year, Americans consume about 18 million barrels of oil every day. Among them, the import dependence is about 40%, that is to say, he needs to import 7.2 million barrels of oil every day. The current crude oil price, let’s take an intermediate figure, calculate it at 35 dollars per barrel, and spend about 252 million per day. U.S. dollars, in one year, it is 92 billion; but what if oil prices drop to 15 dollars per barrel? Let’s not consider the growth of consumption and industrial demand stimulated by low oil prices. The money spent on imported oil was reduced to a mere US$39.5 billion, and immediately saved 52.5 billion as soon as it came in and out! Tell me, did he lose money or make money?

"...Fucking, if you settle the account like this, then the Americans will return the 14 billion in assets to the Persians. As long as the Persians are willing to implement this plan, he will also make a lot of money!"
Tan Zhenhua sighed and said: "Who said no? This sale, no matter how it is calculated, it is all Americans who have taken advantage of it."
Zhan Nuozhu nodded, but after careful consideration, he found another problem, and quickly asked: "Since you said that this matter is a good thing for both the United States and Ipos, why did you just say , Something went wrong, both sides are tearing up?"
Tan Zhenhua sighed again: "Since it is about money, the problem is naturally with money, what else can there be?"
"Eh? Do you really know?"
"Well, you know a little bit of the story."
"Then you tell me?"
"I won't tell you, can you be practical today?"
"No."
"Okay, then I will talk about it. This topic has to start with the composition of the frozen US$14 billion. At the beginning, the Americans frozen all the assets of Ipos in the United States in one breath, but the money But it’s not all cash. To be precise, most of them are not cash. It is made up of a series of assets such as stocks, funds, bonds, and gold. The 14 billion is also calculated based on the valuation of these assets at the time. Can you understand?"
"Well, it's okay, you keep talking."
"Because of the urgency of the negotiations between the two sides, there is no way to deal with stocks, funds, bonds, etc., and once these things move, they will inevitably cause market fluctuations and immediately cause domestic politics in the United States. The opposition parties and the media are vigilant, so when facing the mid-term elections, the Reagan administration will definitely not dare to move. So after counting, there is only one thing that can move immediately without a trace."
"cash?"
Tan Zhenhua rarely praised Jeno Zhubi: "Brother Zhan has gotten the hang of it this time. You are right, it is cash."
"Then the two parties can talk about how to give it to the end? How can there be trouble?"
"Because when it was frozen, cash only accounted for a very small part-and among the frozen assets, the easiest thing to cash in immediately is gold."
"Gold, how much gold did the Persians save in the United States?"
"150 tons."
"...Fuck, it's so rich! But Zhenhua, shouldn't the Americans give the 150 tons of gold to the Persians?"
"This, Americans can't bear it."
"...Why is this?"
"Well, you have to start with the properties of gold, brother Zhan, think about it. Since the history of mankind, gold has been a transaction currency recognized by all ethnic groups and all countries, and it is almost the only one. A currency recognized by everyone, it can’t be compared to other rare metals, silver, copper, etc., isn’t it?"
Zhan Nuozhu thought about it carefully, it seemed that this was the case, and he couldn't help but nodded.
"Brother Zhan, think about it again. Compared to gold, what is the dollar? It's just a piece of paper printed with numbers. The Americans are not stupid. Of course, they don't want to pay with the gold that they have eaten. So, They want to pay this money in U.S. dollars."
"The U.S. dollar is now a hard currency, and the Persians should be able to accept it? After all, they are so short of money now."
"I accepted it at first, but the problem lies here?"
"what happened again?"
"I said Brother Zhan, I just finished complimenting you, so I am confused again? Why did you forget that there is another thing between gold and cash, and it is because of this thing that the two sides quarreled about this transaction. day."
"...Uh, don't understand."
"Don't forget it, it's the price of gold! Isn't there a trading price between gold and US dollars?"
"Doesn't that always have a ready-made reference price? Just do it?"
"However, when it was frozen, the price of gold was about 700 US dollars per ounce, and 150 tons of gold was worth about 3.7 billion US dollars. Now, it is only about 370 US dollars per ounce, which has fallen by almost half. This 150 tons of gold is worth about It's less than 2 billion U.S. dollars, and the U.S. dollar is still falling every day in the international currency market. You said, when should this money be calculated at the price?"
Zhan Nuozhu understood the account, and suddenly sighed: "There is a difference of 1.7 billion US dollars, no one can do it!"
Tan Zhenhua spread his hands and said, "Isn't that right? So, this is what the two sides are trying to force."
For 1.7 billion US dollars, no one can be indifferent to this. Of course Zhan Nuozhu can understand it, but the pressure of reality is also there. Someone behind him is staring, so he has to bite the bullet and ask: "Zhenhua, this matter. I basically figured it out, but the problem is still not solved? There are a lot of people behind me staring at them with red eyes. Just tell me, according to your estimation, when will there be a result?"
Tan Zhenhua thought for a while, and for the first time an expression of uncertain hesitation appeared on his face.