Chapter 3669: Serious threat


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At dinner, Qin Waner told everyone about all their experiences here, including how important the matter he is investigating now.
Zuo Meiyan very much agrees with this, she is well aware of the huge threat posed by capital outflow, which is a disaster for the entire country and people of China.
"Under the pressure of China's currency depreciation, capital outflow has become our main concern for China's economy." Zuo Meiyan frowned. "I think that for such people, they should be sentenced to heavy sentences, and it would not be too much to kill them directly.
Ruan Qingshuang did not particularly understand the economic aspect: "Did not the central bank dominate the RMB depreciation last time? And it shocked the global market."
"Hua Xia did this mainly to pre-empt the Fed from raising interest rates, right?" Manyu has little research on the economy. This is what most people think. "
Zuo Meiyan should be the one who knows the most about the economy.
It can even be said that it is more than Xu Yun.
After all, since Zuo Meiyan took over the Tianyu Group, she must pay attention to every move of the domestic economy and the world economy.
If business people do not understand economic changes, they will definitely be killed.
"Because of the pressure on our China's currency depreciation for months, if the central bank waits until the Fed raises interest rates before liberalizing the exchange rate, then the situation will be more difficult to control. The RMB may depreciate disorderly, and the decline may well be greater than 13%. , The pressure of capital outflow is even greater. "Zuo Meiyan said lightly.
Xu Yun also frowned: "Do current investors in China view capital outflows as the biggest threat to China's economy?"
Zuo Meiyan nodded: "Yes, from the decline rate of the central bank's external reserves, it can be seen that the rate of China's capital outflow has been very fast in the past two years. If China's economy continues to slow down, capital outflow will accelerate."
Of course, these are all visible capital outflows.
Wealthy people abound to invest abroad.
Zuo Mei smoked for a moment, and continued: "In their view, capital outflow is a sign of weakening people's confidence in China. Capital outflow will draw liquidity from the domestic economy and increase the difficulty of financing for enterprises and local governments."
These Zuo Meiyan have been very straightforward, everyone can understand.
Those capital outflows are visible.
There is also the transfer of these invisible black money out of the country. How much money does Huaxia go abroad?
This number is simply a super huge number that ordinary people dare not imagine!
"Moreover, as the Fed raises interest rates and the stock market in China falls sharply, the capital flow trend becomes more and more important. The interest rate hike by the US Empire will draw funds from emerging markets such as China, which will obviously bring greater downward pressure on China ’s stock price. "Zuo Mei said," Why do people who have stocks in these two years lose money ... all because they don't understand the economy. "
Xu Yun nodded, and Zuo Meiyan agreed that many people think that stocks can make money, but they never pay attention to the Fed's interest rate hike news.
Really smart people, people who understand the world economy will not take the lead in the stock market.
People who have news have heard that the Fed's interest rate hike has just come out, and even if there is no sign yet, they will put the money out.
At this time, ordinary people will always suffer.
The stock market kind of thing is someone who has "news". Before they realize that things have changed, they fire up the prices, take a large amount of ordinary people who do not understand the economy and want to make money, and then directly take away the money.
When the stock price plummeted and the people were about to cry without tears, the wallets made by those people ran away with the money.
Now China is in a dilemma.
Stimulating exports with a depreciation of the currency will encourage capital flight and force the central bank to use external reserves to slow the tide of capital outflows.
But efforts to support the renminbi will also hurt exports, which may result in large-scale layoffs in various weak-profit industries and intricate shadow bank inflation.
No one knows how many times the collateral in the warehouse has been mortgaged, or how much debt the shadow banking system has ...
"Now things are complicated. I think the focus of the market is not just on the Fed, this is just one of the things to worry about." Zuo Meiyan sighed: "In addition to the capital outflows we can see, these rely on the underground Qianzhuang transferred capital outwards, and the who laundered the black money were even more abominable. The entire Huaxia economy they engaged in was even more chaotic, saying that they are good for the country and the people. "
"The impact of the Fed's rate hike on China's economy is indeed there, but the downward pressure on China's economy is mainly due to domestic factors." Xu Yun frowned: "Overcapacity, real estate inventory is too high, and export competitiveness is declining ... These are all inescapable responsibilities of our own country. "
"Did you say this, how do I feel that it is now a crisis, especially dangerous." Man Yu's eyes widened, she had never thought that there would be such a danger.
After hearing this, she felt a sense of crisis.
In my heart, there is no pressure on this kind of thing, perhaps only Qiu Yan, because she does not care, understand, and has no interest in this regard.
So she couldn't understand other people's words, and she didn't go to her heart or think about it.
"Under this dilemma, our country allows the RMB to depreciate in an orderly manner, while setting more restrictions on capital outflows and slowing down the opening of residents' capital accounts." Zuo Meiyan said lightly: "China will use huge foreign exchange Reserves to ensure that the RMB exchange rate remains stable. "
"This must consume a lot of money?" Ruan Qingshuang opened his mouth slightly.
"Yes." Zuo Meiyan nodded: "Without seriously affecting China's external exposure, it should be able to consume 900 billion US dollars for foreign exchange intervention."
Nine hundred billion dollars!
My God ... Ruan Qingshuang didn't dare to think about what a huge sum of money.
"This is really hurtful." Xu Yun couldn't help but smile bitterly: "Although our China's foreign exchange reserves are huge, it has consumed at least about 25% of it?"
Zuo Meiyan nodded and frowned: "Yeah, it is indeed a broken thing."
"This is too terrifying ..." Qin Wan'er realized that her task was getting heavier and harder, because she knew that Zuo Meiyan said that these are just some of the official outflows of capital.
What Qin Waner wants to investigate is the illegal way in which underground money banks and such illegal money-laundering capital flow out of China.
If these illegal outflows of capital are all superimposed together, wouldn't it be a more terrifying figure?
Illegal money laundering and underground money banks have led to huge capital outflows, seriously endangering financial security, and must dig deeper into upstream crimes! Whether it is financial securities or corruption, we must crack down on major crimes in these areas!
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