Vol 2 Chapter 22: Change odds

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Shaun Crawford walked out of the game, and he still can't understand why he can't run a yellow man.
"Shaun, you lost to a Chinese! What a shame! Don't forget that you are an American, how can you lose to a thin Chinese?" A very nasty voice that made Sean-Williams sounded The person who spoke was Morris Green.
If you say who is the first flying man in the world today, 80% of people will say Morris-Green.
Morris Green has absolute strength. He once broke the world record of 100-meter sprint in 1999 and raised the world record to 9.79 seconds. This is the first 100-meter world record in 9.8 seconds. At that time, many experts said that the human limit was 9.8 seconds, because Morris Green's previous world record was 9.84 seconds.
Morris-Green has extensive experience in competitions. Since 1997, Morris-Green has won dozens of world championships. The highest gold content is the 100-meter world championship at the 2000 Sydney Olympic Games, which means Morris-Green Participated as a defending champion.
Morris Green also has enough talent. He once had a motorcycle accident in 2002, which caused a broken leg. This can be a fatal injury for a sprinter, but Morris Green After rehabilitation, I changed some technical habits and once again returned to the peak of the 100-meter sprint. It is not easy to understand that this kind of top athletes change their habits, and athletes will not lack effort, Morris Green can do this, fully reflects his amazing sprint talent.
If you only look at the three points above, then Morris-Green can be regarded as a perfect athlete, but in fact Morris-Green's character has a big flaw, he is arrogant, irritable, impulsive, and likes to pretend Boss, unsightly, etc.
It was once the era when Karl Lewis ruled the 100-meter sprint. Morris Green once defeated Lewis and performed a very arrogant performance on the spot. Then he broke the world record and became even more incomparable. Tim Montgomery broke Green's world record two years ago. Green has targeted Montgomery for two years because of this incident. Especially after Montgomery was caught in a drug ban scandal, Green has fallen into disrepair.
The car accident two years ago did not allow Green to converge. After the comeback, Green became more flamboyant and sarcastic. Especially this time in the US team trio, Green often became the boss in front of Crawford and Gatlin, so Gatlin and Crawford both hated Green.
At the moment, when hearing Green’s voice, Crawford knew that he would be satirized by Green. He was very upset, but he still defended: "The Chinese is fast, and he is not weak, he is also long Taller than you. And he ran for 9 seconds and 87. There are not many people in the world who can achieve this result."
Gatling, who is about to play, is clearly standing in a trench with Crawford. He also said: "Shawn said yes, we have to admit that this Chinese has the strength to enter the ranks of the world's top players."
"What about then?" Green sneered: "If it were me, I would never lose to a Chinese. Once I'll let you know, how do I teach the Jamaican rookie."
Green's Jamaican rookie is Asafa Powell, and the two are in the same group. Before the media often speculated that Powell was a genius trapeze, the future will break the American monopoly sprint pattern, which makes Green very uncomfortable, so Green intends to take a good lesson in the game to be touted by the media.
Gatling knew that Green was such a stupid personality. In the usual game, even if Green lost, he would not admit defeat, so he no longer ignored Green, but walked on the track.
In the third set, American player Justin Gatlin is undoubtedly the strongest player, in addition to the British Jason Gardner and Nigeria's Uchena Emidoru also have strong strength The three also made it to the top three, with the first-ranked Gatling scoring 9.96 seconds. It is worth mentioning that another Japanese player, Asahi Asahara, is also in this group. He ran the fourth place and missed the next round, so that both Japanese players were eliminated.
There was no American player in the fourth set, so Aziz Ariza of Ghana won the first place with a score of 10.02 seconds, in addition to veteran Kim Collins and Jamaican Michael Flat to enter the next round.
In the fifth set, Morris Green battled Asafa Powell. Green suffocated enough to teach Powell, but Powell did not accept the move at all, he did not plan to fight hard with Green in the rematch, so Powell did not exert all his strength, and achieved second place in the group with a score of 9.99 seconds. Promoted. Green was first in the group and Ghanaian Mills was third.
Subsequently, the French player Ronald Bergon of the first group ranked first in the fourth place in each group with a score of 10.15 seconds and also qualified for the semifinals.
So far, all 16 players in the semi-finals have been born. Only the Asian champion Zhang Guan is the only player. At the same time, the white people are also annihilated. The non-black athletes are only Zhang Guan.
...
On August 21st, the Chinese team won a total of three gold medals, among which the women’s doubles badminton event. The finals were held in two groups of Chinese athletes. The gold medals have long been suspended; the table tennis men’s doubles finals, the national team’s opponents are Hong Kong players This made the game a lot less gunpowder smell; in the women's weightlifting finale game of 75 kg and above, Tang Gonghong staged a terrible reversal under the disadvantage of breaking the world record in one fell swoop.
In addition to these three gold medals, the end point reported by domestic media is that the 100-meter sprint event has historically entered the semi-finals. The result of 9.87 seconds was once only black, and the yellow race did not dare to think, but now Zhang Guan But it broke the tradition of black monopoly sprinting. For a time, not only domestic media, but also East Asia and even the whole Asia cheered Zhang Guan.
In the men’s 100m semifinals, although no whites appeared, European whites did not feel depressed, because in the womens 100m finals, Belarus’ Nestronco won the championship miraculously. European whites have begun to cheer, they broke the black monopoly on sprint events. Especially in some countries in Eastern Europe, their economies are far inferior to those in Western Europe. This gold medal is undoubtedly a stimulant for them.
Moreover, the victory of Nestronko also made major spinach companies make a small profit, because as a white player, Nestronco is definitely not optimistic before the game, whether it is a men's sprint event or a women's sprint event. No one will bet on a non-black player.
Of course, there are also many people who like to suppress the upset, and most of them are small bets of one or two euros. Although the odds of being small and big are too low, the odds are equally high. After such small bets are accumulated, it is also a considerable amount of money.
In the data analysis department of Ladbrokes, analysts are extremely busy. They have to carefully analyze each game and then adjust the new odds.
A young analyst sent the data report to supervisor Williams, and said at the same time: "Supervisor, the odds of the men's 100-meter sprint for track and field have been revised, and there have been no unusual bets."
Supervisor Williams nodded. He took over the data report and looked at the young man who kept talking. Then he asked, "Little Tommy, do you have any questions?"
"Yes, sir. I don’t understand why you have to lower the odds of the Chinese athlete to win the championship. The odds of 1 to 2 are already the lowest among all players. In this case, this Chinese will become the most popular champion in the 100-meter championship. Although it is said that this Chinese will improve his performance in every game, but I have watched his game video, I think his speed has reached the limit, at the Olympic level, I am afraid that it will take 9.8 seconds to win the championship, but the Chinese obviously It is impossible to achieve this result." The young man said.
"Little Tommy, your analysis is very reasonable. The Chinese may have reached the limit. Perhaps he has the ability to reach the finals, but the possibility of winning the championship is very small!" Williams remarked, then said: " But don’t forget that although the possibility is minimal, it does not mean that it is completely impossible. What if the other athletes perform abnormally, and the Chinese alone is exceptional?"
"Although there is this possibility, the possibility is too low, and it can be regarded as zero by statistical standards."
"If I didn't know that the Chinese put a heavy bet on myself, I would think so." Williams took the coffee at hand, took a sip, and then said: "In our previous prediction, the Chinese The result is around 10 seconds, but now he has ran into 9.9 seconds, maybe it may be faster. I think he is relying on him when he bets on himself."
Williams paused, and then said: "I know this reason can't convince you, so let's take a look at the data! The Chinese are betting themselves on high odds if he really wins the championship , We have to pay him more than one million euros, then we may have to lose money on the 100-meter sprint project, so we must reduce his odds to limit other customers to bet on him, I think even This Chinese is regarded as the hottest place for the 100m to win the championship, and there will not be too many people betting on him! Imagine who would buy a Chinese to get a hundred at the odds of 1 to 2 Rice champion?"
"If the Chinese did not make such a bet before the game, I would definitely not lower his odds so low, maybe I would adjust his odds to the same standard as Powell, but he was Bet on yourself! Don’t forget, we are a spinach company! Our industry is like a huge casino, and our spinach company is the dealer, you know that in the game, the dealer will always make money, because the dealer What we seek is stability, and gamblers fight for probability. In a game, for gamblers, either make a big profit or lose; for the dealer, there is only the difference between big and small profits. So we would rather Make less money and never lose money. This is our principle! Little Tommy, believe me, other spinach companies will also make the same choices as me. I think maybe the odds of the Chinese will be in tens of minutes Become the number one favorite in the 100m championship."

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