Vol 2 Chapter 413: : Metabolism

"And Western economists themselves don't understand what the root cause of the error is, they understand it even more. Then they pretend to be confused and misleading, but I don't think they understand it."
"So have we Chinese people contributed? I think it is, that is, we re-understand Adam Smith's theory and put forward the general Smith theorem."
"It means that whether the division of labor is limited by the size of the market emmm ... In fact, it should be subject to triple restrictions. First, it is limited by natural resources. There are many restrictions on natural resources in our country. Waiting for natural resource constraints, the second is the market size, but the third one is the contribution of our Chinese people. "
"If your market fluctuates very much and there is a lot of turbulence, then your division of labor will inevitably change from complex to simple, so complexity and stability are a contradiction. Then you understand the crisis of Western society today. It is too complicated to develop, so it is actually very fragile, which will inevitably increase the cost of maintenance. "
"For example, the old Americans bombed dozens of cows in Yuenan village. It is easy to recover. Is it a big deal to hit two buildings in 911? Is it easy or difficult to recover? Is the maintenance cost high?"
"So relatively, if the United States is hit by the world today, its fragile nature is actually much higher than ours. If we lose a thousand, then the United States may lose three thousand. The reason is simple, right?"
"Because of this, we understand that if there is competition of scale, there is no equal exchange. The Americans now claim that the GDP of developed countries is high, but this does not mean that their true productivity is high, but that it controls the discourse of international division of labor. Power, technological hegemony, military hegemony, and financial hegemony. "
"So of course it can and has the ability to monopolize pricing, and then we will have the pain of changing 800 million shirts for a Boeing aircraft, so you see, how could it be an equivalent exchange?"
"It's a bit funny that Americans have proposed not to trade freely, but to have equal and equal trade. This is really funny, because the most equal people enjoy the most resources in the world, pay the least labor, and control the world. The market, it also said that it was losing money? Your overall intelligence level is not much worse, right? "
Zhao Xin: "Mr. Ye, what kind of economic situation do you think we are facing today? How is the future world a better world?"
Ye Hua: "What is the situation ... Suppose there is an industry or a company in a field, and he has no competitors now. If a mathematical model is established, it should be an S-shaped curve, increasing returns to scale, and the turning point will remain unchanged for a short time, but if it Facing the entry of a new competitor, an old industry is facing a new competitor, and it is declining quickly. Electric products were originally in the era of screens. Now holographic screenless display is the new competitor. (Screen display) Is it weakening? "
"The so-called metabolism theory is like this. The law of economic movement or the law of industrial movement is actually the same as the law of life movement. It has a life cycle."
"A life has the process of dying from infancy, youth, and adulthood, but the concept of a cycle is uncertain. If the coastline is not born, right? The screen era may not begin to decline now, so this is uncertain. Yes, and it is impossible for a person to come out of the mother's womb after the death to carry out the next cycle, so metabolism. "
"Then the mathematical concept is called wavelet, one wave is one wave, one wave after the other, so the Yangtze River backward wave pushes forward, and the period after period is the macro-economy we see. It has growth and fluctuation."
"So we Chinese people not only have their own theories, but also a set of systematic mathematical methods that can accurately describe micro-finance and macro-history as small as a life phenomenon, as well as economics."
"We can develop a unified theory. This theory cannot be compared with Einstein, but it can be parallel to him. Einstein's theory is unified by the theory of particles based on matter. We unify life and economy with metabolism. Social phenomenon, I will not talk about theory here, you can go to Fuda to find the Lord and interview Professor Chen, he must be more professional than me. "
"Then metabolic growth has an inevitable result, and we can really discuss what modern marketization means."
"That is, you can think of any industry as four stages. The first stage of development is like basic scientific research. Can it make money? The answer is uncertain, I don't know."
"So scientists and research institutes cannot make money. They either rely on government funding, non-profit funds to provide R & D funding, or be financed by capital or large companies. Look at Huawei, the coastline, and many technologies in the world. The giants know their R & D investment. "
"I said that scientific undertakings need to be funded by capital. In fact, it makes sense, otherwise your lab will not have the money to set up and expensive equipment. There is a big difference between scientists and entrepreneurs."
"The second stage is the growth stage, which is the initial application stage. At this time, external venture capital comes. At this stage, the market economy did play a big role. When the Soviet Union did not emphasize market competition during the take-off stage, the efficiency immediately fell away. Go down. "
"But does the government have a role at this stage? Because this stage is very prone to foaming, the stock market is pushed up to the point that even if you look at it yourself, a typical example is the rise of the Internet as a new industry from the 1990s to the beginning of the new century and blowing bubbles. Isn't that how it came? "
"So whether or not the government has a role, whether or not to set standards will play a big role. Apple was almost killed by Microsoft in the past, which is a typical example of advanced technology that almost starved to death. Therefore, what does not mean that it exists must be right . "
"What is the cause? The government abandons the establishment of standards and allows the backward enterprises in the monopoly market to establish standards, so that unreasonable phenomena will occur."
"Then you talk to me in the west about marketization and legalization. Are you letting a monopoly company make it? Or do you make a self-proclaimed top-level design and someone who doesn't understand anything? Have you ever been a business? Have you been in that industry? Do you know the actual situation? Have you done any data analysis? Right? "
"In the third stage of maturity, this seems to be the housekeeping skill of the neo-classical economy. It seems that we can let go of our invisible hands. In fact, it may not be because the most typical phenomenon in the third stage of maturity is that neo-classical economics cannot explain it. Why can giant companies and small companies coexist, so even in the mature period, the government has a role to play? What is the role of the government? Establish antitrust laws to prevent large companies that are already backward technologies from using their inherent market dominance and patent barriers to curb new ones. Business entry. "
"So Mr. Edward Lazaire was talking about protecting intellectual property rights. I would like to ask whose intellectual property rights he protects. Are you protecting the sunset industry or the emerging industry? Unfortunately, what I see is that the United States is protecting the sunset industry. There is also data, and I like to speak with data. "
"Like the more typical recent example, Elon Musk, who is called" Silicon Valley Iron Man, "I have seen him many times. Coastal and Tesla also have commercial cooperation, and may deepen cooperation in the future."
"Then, the inventor of an emerging industry like Musk, he was so angry that he only pulled Tesla to Shangdu to build a factory. This is the emerging industry being forced overseas, so North America is shouting to return to manufacturing. You solve this first ... coastline is a special case, and our coastline is actually the source of technology. "
"Let's get back to business. Like Tesla, even if we look at many of Huaxia's technology sources, they were developed in the United States, and then Huaxia first developed. After successful experiments, it returned to the US market and defeated its original competitors. It's equivalent to what the great man says of rural surrounding cities. "
"It is also equivalent to complex science. As Professor Chen said, I do n’t have living soil at your Harvard and Chicago. Then I go to other places to grow bigger and then reverse the countryside to surround the city, plus a marginal challenge to the core. "
"Our shoreline company was founded in such a strategy at the beginning. At the time of the company's founding, we did not have the ability to challenge and change the old structure of the domestic film market and the ability of the theater giants. We have advanced emerging projection technologies but we may not win because of the dead end. They dominate the market. How do you take off if you have no technology, no capital, no commercialization, and no connections? In the end, advanced technology may be starved to death or engulfed by opponents. "
"Then how did we solve this problem at that time? You go back and look at the first year of the initial development of the coastline. In Greater China, there is no living soil for the start of our company. We are looking for storms to engage in private film. At the core, it went to North America to develop business and cooperated with Disney for a $ 1.5 billion order. The countryside surrounded the city, and it reversed and revived the film market in Greater China. "
"This is the core basic strategy of surrounding the city and the edge challenge in the countryside. Our coastline has gone through the difficult beginning of the company in accordance with this strategy."
"I (coastline) is a living example. Tesla is. Then you can see if history has changed."
"What about the fourth stage of aging? The role of government is coming."
"Companies are declining. You say the US economy is in recession now, our economy is going down, and the government is coming out to save the market."
"We have ordinary nerds shouting" books "all day and shouting abstractly," Guo Jinmin retreat ", then what is" Guo Jinmin retreat "? You said that an old man can't move, do you want young people to come? Help him? Even if he is dead, do you want to cook for him? You will be thrown there if he is dead? So the person who said this did not have a basic economic concept, so your child is long Shall he shelter from the wind when he is old? Father, ca n’t move when he ’s 80 or 90?

"So in the abstract terms of the book," the country advances and the people retreat ", in fact, the biggest mistake you can see in economics theory is the Nobel Prize-winning Arrow De Brue model, which has an infinitely long life span. "
"I said that even if you sell vegetables in the market, there is a cycle, right? As time passes, the fresh vegetables will rot. You can only throw away the rotten vegetables and handle them fresh. It ’s the same to sell baskets.

"As long as you put in every product that has its life cycle and every business has a life cycle, then all neo-classical economic theory is complete ~ EbookFREE.me ~ You have to add one more. If there is competition of scale, The general equilibrium does not exist yet. "
Zhao Xin: "Mr. Ye really spoke amazingly, do you still say that you are not an economist?"
Ye Hua: "Haha, I really don't make sense, and I have never earned any economics."
Zhao Xin: "However, the professional knowledge you talked about is more professional than those of those who have received a doctorate degree. I think you are anonymous and practical."
Ye Hua: "I won the prize and the prize. I'll take it off. I'll take it off, or I won't accept you next time I want to interview."
Zhao Xin: "Ha ~~ Well, then there is the last big question, Mr. Ye, can you use the perspective of the theory of metabolic economic growth to talk about the rise and fall of enterprises, the rise and fall of industries, and even the rise and fall of civilization and our China? What about the plan? "
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