Vol 4 Chapter 49: , Prepare for war

Under Ferdinand's butterfly effect, the rubber crisis that exploded in 1911 did not evolve into a global economic crisis.
It is very funny to investigate the reasons. The main reason is that the economic crisis that began in the United States in 19o7 lasted until 19o9 and ended completely.
Under the natural law of survival of the fittest, the economy that exploded in 1907 has eliminated a lot of production capacity, and now the capitalist world economy is in a period of recovery.
Except for a few industries, most industries do not have the problem of overproduction, and there are not many industries involved in the rubber stock market, so the economic crisis will naturally not burst.
Therefore, in this capital feast, Ferdinand did not get too many benefits, far inferior to the Jewish capitalists who want to sell short. The sequelae is the European anti-Semitism, which has begun to rise again in Europe!
Oh, this is not a big gain, Ferdinand thinks himself, in fact, the gains this time are still very generous.
"Little Carl counts our gains." Ferdinand said lightly
"Yes, Your Majesty!" Little Karl replied
"Since 19o2, we have made arrangements in the rubber market ahead of time. We have invested a total of 150,000 levs (approximately £60,000), established 38 large and small rubber companies, and owned rubber plantations in Southeast Asia. 186, with rubber planting area of ​​10,000 hectares.
After operation, it was listed in London, Shanghai, New York, Paris and other places, and the total market value of the company at its peak was approaching 30 million pounds.
Before the stock market crash, we carried out a sell-off and cashed out 8 million pounds. Our company's stock income was about 3.8 million pounds before, and a total of 10.36 million pounds was profit after excluding costs and expenses!
Later, we spent nearly 500,000 pounds to repurchase the stock, and now we are continuing to delist from the stock exchange! "
From the perspective of the rate of return on investment, the profit has been 16 times in eight years. Even if it is converted to each year, the annual rate of return on investment has exceeded 40%. It seems that this number is very high.
In fact, Ferdinand knew that if it hadn't had its own bank to operate, it was estimated that he would not even get one-third of this profit!
There is no way. How can it be done without the cooperation of financial institutions to speculate stocks?
Compared with the huge profits of the financial industry, the rate of return on investment in industry is really too low!
You don't need to think about Ferdinand knowing that this sell-off of stocks can't be just a sell-off of his own company. Even the stocks that others pledged to bank loans were sold out!
After the stock market crashed, the bank purchased cabbage from the market again at the price of cabbage, and then took the collateral to continue to recover the insufficient part from the creditor. Otherwise, how could it be possible to make so much profit just by selling its own stock?
Well, Ferdinand still has to face it. He didn't take advantage of the stock market crash, otherwise the profit could increase by at least half!
As for the companies acquired later, Karl did not mention, nor did Ferdinand ask. He knew that there were not many industries involved this time, and the gains would naturally not be great.
Except for a few unlucky capitalists who like to play financially and get in, most of the capitalists are still a little bit savvy. The average stock market crash once every few years has taught them not to bet on their net worth while playing stocks!
Therefore, most of the people who are really affected are the middle class and ordinary people, who were fooled by the good news of the stock market and became the ultimate victims!
...
"My dear, the fifth and sixth names, haven't you taken them yet?" Queen Xenia said coquettishly
Ferdinand smiled awkwardly. It is a cumbersome task to choose a name, especially since there are already four names in front, and the names that were eliminated before must not be used now, otherwise it would be a lack of attention to the twins, at least Xenia would not allow Ferdinand to do anything perfunctory!
However, for the question of names, their four elder brothers have eliminated hundreds of names, and there are not many names in the Western world. When it was their turn, Ferdinand had a headache. He felt for the first time It turns out that having more children is also a trouble!
Now Ferdinand is still admiring that he is wise enough to not come up with a bunch of illegitimate children, otherwise the headache index would be +1oo86!
"My dear, do you have any good suggestions?" Ferdinand threw the pot decisively.
Xenia rolled her eyes. It was obvious that you are the head of the family. This is your problem.
At this point, they really have something in common. They can pick out a lot of problems with names that others think, but they can't think of a suitable name!
...
Ferdinand’s troubles did not last long. The sudden visit of the Minister of Foreign Affairs temporarily rescued him from this trouble, but new troubles came again!
"Your Majesty, the negotiations between France and Germany have failed. Now the Germans have sent warships to Morocco, and the two sides are facing each other. The French are asking us to provide diplomatic support and be prepared for war!" Metev said
Although he was prepared, Ferdinand was still a little worried after all this was born. History has changed. Now the advantages of the Allied Powers are much stronger than those of the same period in history.
So, will the French be full of self-confidence, thinking that the time for revenge has come, and simply drag everyone into the water and lead the war ahead of time?
This is the age of talking about strength!
If the war broke out now, many of Ferdinand's plans would be wasted. Judging from the current strength of Bulgaria, it is difficult to obtain the benefits Ferdinand wants after the war.
"Well, tell the French that we will cooperate with them diplomatically, but preparations for war will take some time!" Ferdinand said lightly
In this regard, Ferdinand is still very ethical. Bulgaria has not received less help from the French in recent years. Now is the time to pay back.
But Ferdinand did not stupidly tell the French that we are ready and can do it!
Oh, it seems that Bulgaria is not yet ready for war. It seems that some things need to be prepared in advance.
...
After beating the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ferdinand instructed his attendants: "Notify the Military Committee to hold a military meeting tomorrow morning."
Although Bulgaria will not be the focus of the Allied attack because of its geographical location, the preparations that should be done still need to be done. It is not Ferdinand's style to just be beaten and not fight back!
Relying on the Balkan Mountains, Bulgaria’s national defense pressure is actually not great. Except for the newly acquired cities from Romania’s attack, most of the other areas are dangerous and there are not many places suitable for attack.
If at the beginning of the war, Belgrade can be taken and the Balkan gateway closed, then the next battle will be easy.
Without two or three times the strength of the army, it is difficult to even attack! Anyway, the tanks can't get on, and the planes are not strong. In your age, using infantry to fight barbed wire + trenches is just filling in with lives!
...
At the military meeting, Ferdinand excitedly said: "Europe 6 is now like a gunpowder keg. A little spark can detonate them. Needless to say, the contradiction between the two Dalian Leagues, you all know!
Looking around, Bulgaria is now surrounded by a group of enemies. Once the war breaks out, we will face offensives from multiple enemies at the same time!
Therefore, we must be ready to explode at any time. I ask you to come up with a set of practical defense plans as soon as possible! "
Well, this kind of strategic plan will definitely not fit in a room of the General Staff.
However, the final plan has not been finalized so far. After all, this involves too many aspects. When faced with a specific plan, Ferdinand, who is a military hobby, is really inferior to these professionals.
Then, it is up to these generals to judge, anyway, as long as Ferdinand's requirements are followed strategically, he will not interfere.
After thinking about it, Ferdinand added: "By the way, judging from the strength of the two major alliances, I don't think we can tell the winner in a short time, so we must be prepared for a protracted battle!
When you formulate a war plan, you must also prepare for a protracted war, and you must take into account as much as possible all the crises we will face once a war breaks out.
For example, if the Allies blocked our coastline with submarines, how should the Admiralty respond?
For another example, after the war broke out, the French or the Russians suddenly collapsed. How should we respond?
Or, after the war broke out, the German navy defeated the Royal Fleet, what should we do?
...
In short, all adverse consequences imaginable must be considered! "
Well, Ferdinand’s words frightened everyone. Now everyone is very optimistic about the situation in the Allied Powers. They have never considered so many disadvantages!
The battlefield is ever-changing. Before the battle begins, who knows what will happen? In history, the Allied Powers won. In addition to their great family and strong national strength, they also cannot do without the strategic mistakes of the Germans.
What if the Germans suddenly exploded under Ferdinand’s butterfly effect? Did they not make strategic mistakes?
Or maybe the Germans were so lucky that they directly overthrew the British in the naval battle. Who can say this accurately?
In short, in theory, all of these are possible. As long as any situation occurs and Bulgaria does not prepare in advance, the consequences will be disastrous!
Chief of Staff Imya Dimityev thought for a while and said: "Your Majesty, I am afraid that these situations will not happen! Once the war breaks out, the Austro-Hungarian Empire will not be able to stop it anyway. Our joint offensive with the Russians, without the help of the Germans, the Austro-Hungarian Empire would not be able to hold on for half a year!
The Italians are not suitable for war. Once this happens, the Germans will fight alone, so the division of troops is inevitable!
In this way, the entire battlefield has become exhausted by both sides, and the war potential of the Allies is not comparable to ours!
As for the German Navy's ability to defeat the Royal Fleet, this situation is even more unlikely!
The power gap between the two sides is too great, and with the help of the British and French, even the Russian fleet in the Baltic Sea can contain some Germans.
And the fleets of the Allied Powers, Italy and Austria, cannot leave the Mediterranean at all! "
Ferdinand nodded. Under normal circumstances, the inference of the Chief of Staff is correct, but who is right on the battlefield?
I saw Ferdinand faintly said: "Nothing is impossible on the battlefield, and the Germans will not be led by us. Is it really difficult to give up the Austro-Hungarian Empire?
As long as the Germans are sure to kill the French before the Austro-Hungarian Empire is over, all of this is not a problem. Instead, we will be passive at that time. Even with the Russians, we will still be at a disadvantage!
As for the naval decisive battle, everyone knows that sometimes luck is more important than strength, and even a tsunami in the sea may help the Germans win the battle. We can't take it lightly! "
Everyone did not speak. Obviously, the situation Ferdinand said was not without the possibility of life, especially when the Germans concentrated their forces on the front line. This possibility was still very high.
If at the beginning of the war, the Germans shamelessly made a surprise attack, could the French be able to stop it?
No one can answer this question!
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