Chapter 365: Strategic gambling

After returning to continental Europe, Stephen and Gabriel parted ways. One wants to run to independence, the other wants to find a place to watch the situation.
Stephen and others did not return to Hungary the first time. Exile experience told him that the door must be careful, and any negligence can be fatal.
Although the time has passed for more than ten years, everyone has undergone tremendous changes, and no one can guarantee whether it will be recognized by an acquaintance.
Once the sound of the wind was leaked, they were burned. In the Principality of Montenegro, Stephen and others disembarked, posing as businessmen to inspect the market in Montenegro.
Then sent several young people who had never met in Austria to enter Hungary to gather information.
Adversity is the easiest to grow, and the Hungarian independent organization is now different from a dozen years ago. Not only did he learn to know himself, but his life-saving ability also improved by N grades.
...
At the time when a large wave of disorderly parties swept across the European continent, the Putan war was also coming to an end, but at this time the tsarist government shot in time.
This can't be considered timely. The Tsarist government should have shot more than two months ago. Unfortunately, the Russians wanted to suppress the Polish rebellion before dealing with the Prussians.
As a result, the Polish rebels were defeated, but the rebellion continued. There are too many supporters behind the Polish rebellion, and the strength of the rebels exceeds the Russians' expectations.
Defeating them is easy, it is difficult to destroy them. The existence of the Polish rebellion has earned time for the Prussians.
Until the Danes really couldn't hold on, the tsarist government had to take action. Otherwise, the Kingdom of Denmark will fall and the face of the Russian Empire will be lost.
On December 28, 1864, the Tsarist government issued a war envoy to the Kingdom of Prussia, ordering them to withdraw from Denmark within 24 hours.
Berlin, despite the preparation of thought, but when this day really came, the Prussian government felt the repression.
The enemy this time, the European empire, the Russian Empire, is not at all comparable to the Danes.
That's it, they can't tolerate them now. Otherwise, the Russians did not say, but also offended the English and French who secretly supported them.
William I did not bother to be mad with the military. If he lost the war, even if the Russians did not swallow Prussia, they would at least bite them.
"Ready, are you sure you can beat the Russians?"
"We have completed national mobilization, all reserve forces have been demobilized, and the 427,000 Prussian army is ready to go into combat," Ron said.
Now the most important thing is to get more loans from Britain and France. As long as the funding problem is solved, we can spend time with the Russians. "
The Kingdom of Prussia mobilized 427,000 troops without leaving, but this does not mean that these troops can be put into the war against Russia.
It is also a tragedy that the neighbors are too strong. The three neighbours, regardless of which one has the power to kill them, the Prussian government has to be careful.
The main force is all right and the Russians have no problem. How to ensure that they are not robbed by fire is a big problem.
Even if everyone needs them to fight the Russians, for the time being France and Austria will not do anything to them, but once the war is over?
Whether it is defeat or victory, it is possible to incur blows from France and Austria.
Defeated. Needless to say, the Russians will eat meat, and the two countries will also eat meat. The Prussian kingdom does not want to get away without paying a bitter price.
Winning this war is not tantamount to victory. The tsarist government still has the strength to make a comeback. The future is long!
The European continent is too small to accommodate so many powerful nations. Neither France nor Austria wants to see a strong Prussian presence.
After attacking the Russians, the role of the Kingdom of Prussia has come to an end, and it is quite normal to be stabbed behind.
Precautions are needed and the Prussian government has to prepare in advance. In the unlikely event of an accident, there must be response time.
With so many real problems in sight, the Prussian military naturally dared not take risks. Not only do they have to win, they also have to minimize their losses in order to deal with the possible robbery of fire between France and Austria after the war.
In this era, the international environment of the Kingdom of Prussia was much worse than in history, and there were too few options for them.
Bismarck was able to lead Prussia to reunify Germany in history, based on the premise that the Russians lost the Crimean War and Austria lost the French-Austrian War.
The situation is completely different now. The French-Austrian war was not fought at all. The Kingdom of Sardinia wanted to entice the French to send troops to attack Austria, but the Vienna government directly threw out the entire Kingdom of Sardinia.
France, which had eaten the Kingdom of Sardinia, was super profitable on the surface. In fact, it had fallen into a strategic passive state and had been isolated by European countries.
In a way, this is also a good thing for the Kingdom of Prussia. The French, who are stuck in diplomatic dilemma, did not dare to take the idea of ​​Rhineland within a short time, and their national defense pressure was greatly reduced.
The courageous Russians are not the same. Although the losses they suffered in the Near East War are greater than the historical Crimean wars, the problem is that they won!
The Russian people were not afraid of heavy losses. The Tsarist government occupied Constantinople, and all sectors of the society were very satisfied. The losses were directly ignored.
After the baptism of the tsarist army, the combat effectiveness is not comparable in history. Not only does the weaponry and equipment surpass the historical period, the morale of the army is incomparable.
It is not surprising that the Prussian military chose to play conservatively. After all, what the Tsarist government lacks most is soldiers, and there is a Russian-Australian alliance. Even if Austria does not support the Russians, it will not prevent them from selling arms.
In this context, it is obviously unwise to fight against the Russians for strength. It is okay for the Tsarist government to lose three or five times. The Prussians lose once.
War is not a child's play. Whether it's Ron or Mao Qi, it is the best military strategist of this era. Their pattern is naturally not just to win a battle, but to win a war.
The biggest weakness of the Tsarist government is poverty. There are gold masters behind Prussia. The first thing that cannot be sustained must be the Russians.
Prime Minister Frank asked: "How can we ensure that the Russians are blocked? From the actual situation, we must defend the enemy from the country.
What Cossack cavalry is, you are all clear, once you let them go deep into the country to destroy, the consequences are unthinkable. "
This is the most vexing problem. The border between Russia and Russia is too long, and the Pod Plain is a Maping River. These areas are also the foundation of the Junker aristocracy.
Not to mention that the Russian army's large-scale troops deepened. Even if the cavalry of a thousand people rushed in to destroy it, the Berlin government could not afford to lose.
Mao Qi said solemnly: "Merging Qingye and moving all the people within 50 kilometers of the border between Russia and Russia to the rear.
We carried out a second mobilization to increase the service life of the soldiers to five years and adjust the service age to 16 to 55. We were able to add 300,000 troops to the army and simply train the Russian troops to come in. "
Everyone's face changed greatly, and the annexation of Kiyano was simple to say. If you do, you will have to pay a heavy price.
The Kingdom of Prussia is not big. It is easy to say that it is fifty kilometers back. In fact, this means that if you move millions of people, one fifth of the land will be white.
William I said solemnly: "This is impossible. Your merger plan for clearing the wild has exceeded our ability. If we do this, it will be us, not the Russians, who will collapse first."
Mao Qi sighed and said, "If this is the case, we can only take risks and put the battlefield in Poland as much as possible."
In this era, trenches and barbed wire have not yet appeared. Without such cheap defense facilities, the border between Russia and Russia is so long that it is only possible to build fortifications in key areas.
Large enemy forces dare not bypass these fortifications to go deep into the offensive, and small troops are different.
Of course, the rear is not without fortifications, the castles of the nobles are the best fortresses, and it is not a big problem to deal with small units without heavy firepower.
The main reason for the merger of Kiyano was to reduce personnel losses. After all, it is impossible for the people to stay in the castle all the time, and everyone needs life.
The cavalry comes and goes like a wind, and even if it is notified, it takes time to prepare. Retreating fifty kilometers is to fight for this time.
William I hesitated, and the greatest risk of taking the risk was not military. Now that the Polish Independent Organization is an ally of Prussia, even if war is fought in Poland, they also have popular support.
The trouble is to anger the Russians and turn a local war into a full-scale war between the two countries. No wonder the Prussians advised that the biggest problem was that after completing the military reform, they had not experienced a war and had no confidence in their hearts.
Prime Minister Frank said: "Your Majesty, it's all this point, why bother to look ahead?
After winning this war, the Kingdom of Poland after independence is a buffer between Prussia and Russia; after losing this war, the Kingdom of Prussia will lose its future. "
As the Prime Minister of Juncker aristocracy, at a crucial moment, he stood on the side of Juncker aristocracy. In any case, class interests must be preserved.
The retreat of the Prussian kingdom was blocked, and the retreat of the Junker nobles still existed. These nobles who can fight are still very popular in this era, and they are not worried about their way out.
William I nodded fiercely and said, "Don't worry about it!"
That's it, he decided to take a big bet. Placing the battlefield in the Russian-Polish region will not only reduce local losses, but also have the opportunity to bite off the Russians after the war.
But the British supported their expansion in the Baltic Sea. The German region had no chance to expand, and the expansion to the east became the only option.
European nations would not mind seeing the birth of a Prussian empire that was dying with Russia, and taking on the heavy task of enclosing the Russian empire, John Bull would not look at Prussia to die.
Prime Minister Frank proposed: "Your Majesty, we must seek more supporters, at least to keep the Austrians neutral.
The Russian empire with Austrian support is completely different from Russia without Austrian support. We cannot host two empires at the same time. "
Since it is a battle of attrition, it is natural to consider the strength comparison between the two sides. Austria may not have the wealth of Britain and France, but Austria's industrial strength is not weaker than France.
Support doesn't have to be money. Giving materials can also play a role. As long as there is sufficient food, weapons and ammunition, and necessary munitions, the Russians can continue to support it.
In this era, most of the European conscripts did not have barracks, and the barracks of noble officers could owe them first. They would not go on strike because the king could not afford the barracks.
William I thought about it and said, "Well, send someone to talk to the Vienna government, as long as it is not the core issue, you can discuss it."
...
In Vienna, Franz did not know that Austria had once again become the focus of competition between the parties. At this time, both Russia and Russia needed Austria's support.
Geopolitics is always a topic that cannot be avoided. Austria, which is close at hand, can play a role that is not comparable to Britain and France far away.
He was still worried about the letter in his hands. Massimilino, who was in trouble, finally knew that he wanted to ask for help, and then Franz was embarrassed.
The Prussian-Russian war is about to begin, and the Vienna government must mobilize its attention; the North and the South in the American civil war are about to separate the victory and defeat, and Austria's strength in the Americas must be invested in subsequent interventions.
Interfering in Mexico's internal affairs, that's just life-threatening.
Rejecting it directly is somewhat unfriendly. After all, Massimilino thought that diplomatic support would suffice. Everyone knows that behind every diplomatic support is a game of strength.
Diplomacy without support is not worth mentioning at all. After hesitating again and again, Franz decided to give Massimilino a wave of chicken soup for the soul and let him fight for himself.
As a good brother, Franz still gave dry goods.
He made a deep analysis of the internal contradictions of the Mexican empire and suggested that Massimilino draw down the constitutionalists first and establish a stable government. The issue of reform will be discussed later.
No money is simpler, rest assured to ask French people for loans. Guan said, the right of way, fiscal revenue, minerals ... as long as the price is appropriate, all can be mortgaged.
Hearing Franz couldn't control. Anyway, a suggestion was given. According to the above statement, although it cannot make the Mexican empire strong, at least it can ensure that Massimilino's throne stabilizes.
Increasing the difficulty of future reforms was directly ignored by Franz. In the face of survival, any other factors can be abandoned.
What owes money is that although Grandpa may not be applicable in this era, at least it can guarantee that Napoleon III did not dare to give up his support easily.
The issue of debt repayment must also wait until the throne is firmly seated. If someone were ousted from office halfway through, these debts would have nothing to do with Massimilino.
It was the Mexican government that borrowed money, not Massimilino himself. In the event that the enemy is ousted from office, leaving a mess for them is a small revenge.
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