Chapter 539: Suspects everywhere

Franz's prediction was correct, and the Greeks did not know what to do when they caught Ludwig the quasi-king.
There were also divisions within the insurgent army, and some advocated the establishment of a republic in an attempt to break away from Austria's control of Greece.
Others advocated Ludwig's succession. Reason: Prince Ludwig was the legal heir to the throne.
Before the Austrians had time to intervene, the Republicans and royalists were about to work. The Republicans were mostly capitalists, and there were a bunch of middle and second-year boys.
As for the large number of farmers and workers, they are all spectators. This coup has nothing to do with them, and they do not need to show their positions.
Before the coup, they were able to cooperate, in order to expel the Bavarian cabinet of Otto I and seize the supreme power of the government.
Now that the goal has been achieved, the two factions are on the bar for power. The aristocracy who currently holds most of the army has the upper hand, and maybe Ludwig may not need Austria to send to the throne.
Looking at the information in his hands, Franz didn't know what to evaluate. Saying that the revolution is here, why does it end before it has begun?
With a little extrapolation, Franz knew someone was doing something. Greece itself is a small projectile country. Greece now is less than half of later Greece.
Territory is small, resources are scarce, and the population is at most one million. In this case, how does the capitalist grow and grow?
Not having enough strength and a good location is not a good thing. Since independence, Greece has been deeply influenced by the powers.
The heavy debt has left the Greek government in a state of living beyond its means for a long time and had to step up its looting of the people.
Greece's domestic market has long been reduced to a dumping ground for major commodities. National capital has been lingering on the edge of life and death. Perhaps all of them add up. There is no big capitalist.
The economic power of the Greek aristocracy is not rampant, at least there is an army in their hands. Now the capitalists have also formed an army. Although they are still in a disadvantage, this also exceeds their strength.
Franz doesn't think that capitalists can destroy their homeland. Even if there are individuals with high morals, it is impossible for the whole group to do so.
Politics is complex, and what you see is not necessarily true. Austria can make smoke bombs to fool people, and other countries are doing the same.
Sudden Greek turmoil, who actually wrote it, Franz couldn't make an accurate judgment without precise information.
Waves have not settled and waves have risen again.
Before the Greek problem is resolved, Bulgaria is in chaos again. On September 11, 1873, the Bulgarian Revolutionary Union launched an anti-Russian uprising in Sofia.
...
Bulgaria, this is a tragedy country. After finally driving away the Ottoman Empire, there was another Russian Empire.
Thanks to the efforts of the tsarist bureaucrats, the pro-Russian factions of that year have basically become anti-Russian factions.
Looking at the independence of Poland and Central Asia, Bulgarians said that it must be impossible to stay indifferent. However, the Russians attached great importance to Constantinople, and the presence of heavy soldiers here dispelled many people's idea of ​​independence.
In any case, the Russians ruled better than the Ottoman Empire, and the exploitation was not so harsh, and the two sides were almost the same in terms of culture and religion.
If the Tsarist government is interested in promoting ethnic integration, it will be a generational thing. It is possible that the St. Petersburg government did not have such a mindset, otherwise there would not be so many ethnic groups in the Russian Empire.
No one has a good life, and a flower has no hundred days.
After all, the imperial Russian empire has fallen. The idea of ​​national independence has taken root in Bulgaria since the Russians failed in the Russian-Prussian War.
The agricultural crisis is another catalyst. Bulgaria's industry has just begun, and its economy is all supported by agriculture. Due to the plunge in international food prices, farmers in Bulgaria suffered heavy losses last year.
Seeing that the autumn harvest is approaching, but no one cares about the grain, which has aggravated the panic of the people.
There is already a small news out saying: In order to protect domestic food exports, the Tsarist government banned harvesting in Bulgaria.
There are quite a few people who are willing to believe in such apparently false news. The ordinary people don't have that much knowledge, they just see that no one came to collect food this year.
Not only Bulgaria, but food capitalists across the continent have slowed down. It is another good harvest year, and no one knows how much food prices will fall. What if the purchase is lost in advance?
You know that last year's price was volatile and many people lost a lot of money. Before the grain is purchased, the losses can be passed on to the farmers. If they buy it, they can only carry it on their own.
In order to protect their own interests, capitalists choose to wait and see the wind first. After the market has stabilized, collect food from the people.
Anyway, there is still a lot of inventory, and it can't be digested for a while. Don't worry about the food being stolen by others.
The Russians haven't done nothing these years. With the removal of the imprisonment overhead, Bulgaria's education has flourished.
The new intellectuals were the first to be affected by nationalism. They soon forgot the Russians' merits of driving away the Ottomans, and now they only remember Russian slavery.
Of course, the Tsarist government certainly will not recognize slavery to Bulgaria, because Alexander II's reforms were treated equally, and many Bulgarian farmers were the beneficiaries. It was just that this dividend had not had time to feel, and the agricultural crisis broke out first.
In July 1869, the Bulgarian Revolutionary Union was secretly established in Greece. In order to drive away the Russians, almost all Bulgarian revolutionary groups joined the alliance.
Many people don't think that the real reason for the emergence of the alliance is actually: Russian land reform.
The Revolutionary Party fears that the Tsarist government bought over the peasants, and the revolutionary cause will die. Therefore, the tsarist government's reforms in Bulgaria met with resistance from conservatives and revolutionaries.
In the process, the two sides have merged and the revolutionary forces have begun to grow.
...
After reading the basics of Bulgaria, Franz was lost in thought. This uprising was a coincidence, and it was just decided to join forces with the Russians. Greece and Bulgaria had revolutions at about the same time.
To say that there is no connection behind this is a coincidence, and Franz didn't believe it. He would rather believe that this was premeditated. Some people want to target Russia or Austria, or delay time.
The Greek revolution was easy to solve, even if it was solved by force, it was nothing more than a division or two. It was only a small problem for Austria.
The only trouble is international pressure, and Austria cannot send troops to interfere in Greek internal affairs for no reason, which is related to the international image.
When Xunzi wants to set up a torii, this is not a joke, but it is obviously needed. Any country is packing itself, it is nothing more than how much resources are invested.
In the case of insufficient benefits, everyone is still willing to maintain a good international image. Even Britain and France are no exception. They have to find an excuse for overseas expansion.
This little problem can't help Franz, and it is also possible to change agents. For example, the current Greek royalists are a good partner.
As long as they support Ludwig's succession and guarantee Austrian interests, it is also good for them to run Greece.
Bulgaria is in trouble. The Bulgarian guerrillas showed good combat effectiveness during the Near East War. Although this unit is old, it is still alive, and the charge may not be physically enough to pass the experience. It is not a problem to impart experience and direct operations.
Franz was very skeptical that the Russians could put an end to the rebellion. Not to worry that the Russians have no strength, mainly because the Tsarist government has no money.
"Is the black hand locked behind the scenes?"
Intelligence chief Tyron: "The preliminary judgment is that the Ottoman Empire. Whether it is a Greek coup or a Bulgarian uprising, the weapons were sponsored by Ottoman merchants."
Franz was not surprised that the Ottomans were fighting back. It ’s all about to come to the door, can we not let people fight back?
Who knows the truth? The Ottoman Empire still has some Greeks and Bulgarians. These "Ottoman merchants" are all patriotic merchants from Greece and Bulgaria.
Even if the news is leaked, only the Sudanese government does not recognize it or insists that these people are not Ottomans, and it is difficult for Austria to make use of it.
Nationality is too easy to handle in this era. Which international businessman has few nationalities? Everyone needs which one to use. Without the Internet, it is difficult to find out even if multiple nationalities are not recognized.
Since things are going to be done, it is natural to pack up the tail and the tail. Maybe they should investigate further. These people also have Austrian nationality.
Behind the scenes, Franz was suspicious of anyone. On the surface, the Ottoman Empire has the most suspicions, the Russians have the least suspicions, and the three countries in Britain, France, and Austria have similar suspicions.
Hesitating, Franz said, "Forget it, just keep staring. If the black hands continue to act behind the scenes, they will show up sooner or later; if they stop, the result is not too bad."
There is no way, the Greeks and Bulgarians are confused, and they do not know who the supporters are behind the scenes.
How can this be traced? Do not think that these actions must have been planned by the government. Bureaucrats, capitalists, and nobles may also be real murders.
Motivationally, there are too many suspicions.
For example: In order to fight for time, the Sudanese government provoked incidents and distracted Russia and Austria;
Or maybe Britain and France want to help the Ottoman Empire;
It is also possible that Austria did it, the purpose is to crack down on the Russians and take advantage in the distribution of benefits. This can be crossed out and Franz can prove that he did not do it.
In terms of interests, of course, domestic arms dealers, agricultural capitalists, and big nobles are suspect.
A batch of arms is very difficult for people without channels, but for people with connections, it is also a matter of tens of thousands of shields.
Regardless of the high price of arms in the international market, in fact ordinary guns and ammunition are really worthless. Second-hand rifles only need one or three Aegis to buy one, and wholesale can be cheaper.
In the current chaos, arms dealers, agricultural capitalists, and big nobles who produce food are all beneficiaries. Apart from that, this year's food prices are probably stable.
This is not to say how much food was consumed by the war, nor is it that Bulgaria and Greece are important food exporters, mainly to give market confidence.
The main reason for the collapse of international food prices is the loss of confidence in the market. Otherwise, the capitalists will still palletize and maintain the stability of food prices through artificial speculation.
What about excess capacity, as long as the trading market is under control, it can also send signals to the outside world that demand exceeds supply.
As long as there is a reasonable excuse to convince everyone that there will be a shortage of food in the market this year, enough speculators will be able to come in and artificially raise food prices.
Not to mention, just look at the news in the newspaper. From the call of the Vienna government to reduce production, the media sang praises as if the agricultural crisis had passed.
European newspapers are almost all about food production reduction news. The so-called experts and scholars are exaggerating the role of the "land fallow law", and some people have vocally announced that in 1873 Europe ’s grain production capacity will fall by 20%.
These are all tricks played by interest groups. No one knows how many people can flicker. Anyway, I ca n’t dig smart people, I really ca n’t go deep into the countryside, and I understand.
Market surveys do not know that speculators who do it will be killed sooner or later. There is no essential difference between dying early and dying late.
After the news of the Greek coup and the outbreak of the Bulgarian revolution, on September 13, 1873, the price of food on the London futures market rose by 5 percentage points that day.
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