Chapter 746: Undercurrent


War is not something that can be fought. "The soldiers and horses are not moved, the forage is first; the war is not started, and the diplomacy is first."
The political pattern of the continent's multinational continents determines the importance of diplomacy.
The role of diplomacy has emerged before the Vienna government has the confidence to confront all European countries at the same time.
Not all countries are required to support Austria in launching this war, at least to ensure that most countries do not object.
That ’s all for small nations, most of them are grass. For them, Austria is already strong, and it doesn't matter how strong it is.
As long as they do not harm their own interests, even if they are upset, they will at least verbally condemn them.
The countries that really have the right to speak are the three major hooligans of Britain, France, and Russia. Spain, the far-reaching Nordic Federation, and the German Federal Empire next door can barely count a third of the votes.
How to deal with these countries has become the most important task of the Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Foreign Minister Weissenberg analyzed: "The turbulent situation on the European continent is very beneficial to our next move.
The French government has been plagued by the revolution, and is now overwhelmed.
At the cost of not supporting the Italian Independence Movement and the French Revolutionary Party, in exchange for the acquiescence of the Paris government, we are very likely to succeed in this operation.
Spain has always followed the pace of the French internationally, and as long as the French government does not object, most of them will not take the lead.
Even if the German Federation does not support us, it will not oppose it. We can preach nationalism, emphasize the hatred between the German people and the Ottoman Empire, and get their support is not difficult.
The Nordic federations are so far apart that this war will not involve their interests. Moreover, we secured a loan from the Nordic Federation for the Russians.
If they still need us to provide security for this loan, they will not stand on our opposites.
The most troublesome are Britain and Russia. It is basically impossible to obtain the support of the British government. We do not have so many benefits to exchange.
The foreign ministry's next focus will be on the Russians. If we can make some concessions or cede part of the Ottoman Empire to the Russians, the Tsarist government should not refuse. "
The core of diplomacy is interest, and now it is time for interest exchange. As long as the bid is high enough, there is nothing to buy.
Looking at the map of the Near East on the wall, Franz pondered for a moment and made a decision: "If the Russians would send troops together, then the east would be bounded by the Arakus River and the Asia Minor Peninsula by the Anatolian Plateau. .
If the Tsarist government is unwilling to send troops and only supports us diplomatically, then they can only obtain territories north of the Greater Caucasus, and the Asia Minor Peninsula will not have their share. "
Undoubtedly, no matter which way of distribution, the biggest benefit that Austria has taken away is no longer "the two countries divide Ottoman equally."
The reality is so cruel, the benefits are always equal to the strength. Franz's price is also based on the Russians' own strength.
Especially in the first option, the two countries share the Ottoman Empire together. The seemingly fair and reasonable bid is actually a mischief.
Looking at the border line drawn by Franz, we know that Russia and Austria have always been good-neighborly and friendly. If one day the two countries turn their faces, there will be holes everywhere.
The Russian Balkan Peninsula and the Asia Minor Peninsula were all directly exposed to the Austrian front and would soon fall.
This is determined jointly by geographical location and strength. It seems that they are connected with the Russian Empire, but that is only a geographical connection.
There is a mountain barrier in the middle, the railway is not expected, and the traffic is completely on the Black Sea.
As soon as Constantinople was lost and the Austrian Navy entered the Black Sea, the lifeline was cut off.
Even if the Russians kept Constantinople useless, the Black Sea Fleet was gone.
Austrian land can be easily pushed to any port on the Black Sea coast, and a dozen submarines can be used to reach the Black Sea.
Modern warfare fought logistically. Once the army lost its logistical supplies, it would be nothing.
In a sense, this is a huge trap. The greater the strength of the tsarist government in these areas, the greater the losses it will pay.
...
Paris, since the news that European countries are convening an international conference here to jointly curb the spread of revolutionary ideas, the situation has become overwhelming.
Hundreds of thousands of Parisians took to the streets to protest the government's collusion with international reactionary powers and plot to persecute the revolution.
The protests of the people were clearly transmitted to the Palace of Versailles, and the whole person of Napoleon IV became stunned, as if suddenly twenty years old.
There is no way. Every day, a group of people are arguing outside. This kind of mental damage is really unbearable for ordinary people.
Mobilize troops to disperse the parade? This had no effect, it had just dissipated and gathered again in a while.
The most important thing is that people are legally protesting, and the government has no right to suppress it until it has acted aggressively.
It was not that Napoleon IV obeyed the rules, mainly because he had no confidence in his heart. He was afraid of intensifying contradictions and did not dare to order repression.
At present, the French government is suppressing all the extremists who have launched a rebellion. The protesters are not among them and they cannot be suppressed.
According to incomplete statistics, in recent times, at least one-third of people in France have participated in demonstrations.
Throwing the documents in his hands, Napoleon IV growled angrily, "Who can tell me, when is this day?
The emperor's temper is getting worse and worse, this is the clearest feeling for everyone. No matter how bad your temper is, you still have to work normally.
"Her Majesty, just now received news from Vienna that the Austrians are planning to invade the Ottoman Empire."
Napoleon IV shook his head: "My foreign minister, such a trivial matter, you just have to do it. Don't bother me!"
"Austrian invasion of Ottoman" has also become a trivial matter. If this standard is followed, it is estimated that there will be no major incidents internationally.
Terence Burkin reminded his head stubbornly: "His Majesty, this is an extraordinary, not ordinary war. The Austrians wanted to swallow the Ottoman Empire in one go.
Once their plan was completed, in addition to the lack of Constantinople, it was an Eastern Roman Empire. The impact on us is very great. "
The impact is indeed very large. If Austria had annexed the Ottoman Empire, the impact would be even more terrible than the revival of the Eastern Roman Empire.
At least in the history of the Eastern Roman Empire, the territory did not extend to Central Europe, and there were no colonial empires throughout the world.
Napoleon IV smiled and shook his head with a bitter smile: "Even so, what can it do. In our current situation, do you think there is still the ability to interfere?
Otherwise you go out and say to the people: In order to keep the Ottoman Empire, send troops to fight Austria and see what they will do.
As for the problem that Austria may be bigger, let the Englishman have a headache! "
Terence Bulkin was over and over again. He hadn't lived enough, and didn't want to go out for excitement.
In Paris, where anti-war and revolutionary trends are strong, the government dared to send troops to fight Ottoman wars. Isn't that forcing everyone to revolution?
Since there is nothing you can do, just let it go. After a series of social beatings, Napoleon IV has matured and is pragmatic.
...
As time goes by, the time is getting closer to the Paris International Conference, and the situation in Paris has become more tense.
In the evening, dozens of people had gathered in an ordinary farmhouse in the suburbs.
A bearded middle-aged person took the lead in speaking: "From the current situation, the Bonaparte government is probably not compromising.
If the Paris International Conference is successfully held and these monarchs in Europe collude, the success rate of our revolution will be even lower. "
A young man who was angry with a book slammed the table: "Can't wait any longer. Now revolutionary thinking has become deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. The Kubitabang dynasty of the people has been long, and the time for revolution is ripe.
It seemed to be aware that the atmosphere was wrong, and the organizers of the meeting hurriedly calmed down, "Little Rove, have something to say, don't be so excited.
Our preparation is not enough. Except for its influence in the National Guard, other troops have no time to penetrate.
Without the support of the army, it is almost impossible to complete the revolution. "
Although a bit cruel, this is the truth. Regimes come out of the barrel of a gun, without the support of the army, and wanting an armed revolution to seize power is a matter of fact.
Xiaonov countered: "Mr. Fei Juning, this is not the case.
The revolutionary wave did not come easily. The last revolutionary wave that swept across Europe was in 1848.
If this opportunity is missed, no one knows when the next revolutionary wave will appear.
Without the support of the big environment, even with our own strength, even if we are fully prepared, we cannot fight back from the monarchy.
At this time, we have reached the point where we have to fight. When the Paris International Conference is over, the monarchy is united, and it is too late to take action. "
...
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