Chapter 1516: Black Swan

Now that the war situation in the South has reversed, everyone can see that after a major setback in the town of Delin, the Zhu Mengweier Corps has lost the vigour of its invincibility at the beginning of the war and is unable to continue northward.
Now that the crisis in Yalfheim has been alleviated, the imperial authorities will focus more on Midgard, and military assistance will lean more toward Midgard.
At the same time, Midgarde's military and civilians were also encouraged by the victories of their fellow citizens in the South.
Even the Yankees with outdated equipment and outdated tactics can defeat the indisputable sea-blue star Louis Jumonville in Delin Township. Our regular army of Midgard plus the militia is no worse than the Fiorent of Yottenheim How much, the level of equipment is similar, the enemy has no famous generals to sit in, but our commander is Baron Laval, the "butcher" of the Megatron, what is there to be afraid of?
The question worthy of deep consideration now is not whether the Fijians will invade Midgard, but when will our army be able to slash Jotunheim north and conquer the new Avalon!
This kind of optimism is almost manic, and it is popular in various pubs, clubs and even high-social social fields in Midgard.
After Joan returned to school, he also felt this optimistic atmosphere.
Although he didn't approve of taking the initiative to fight against Jordonheim, he was inevitably influenced by mainstream concepts on campus and in society, and believed that Fijians had missed the opportunity to go to war.
The proposal passed by the lower house of the Fijian Council in the same time as a declaration of war proved to be nothing more than intimidation on the paper, just like the strange and sensational motions in the past, the final outcome was nothing more than that, and it was quickly adopted by the world. Forgotten.
However, Joan, listening to what Professor Moriarty said, seemed to have a different view of the current situation, which made him both surprised and curious, and could not help asking questions.
"Teacher, General Jumonville has just defeated in the south, the ambitions of the Sea Blues to invade Yalfheim have been curbed, the military and civilians in the North have been encouraged by the compatriots in the South, and the morale has been unprecedentedly high. Did the Fijians of Donheim dare to invade Midgard?"
"Joan, your point of view is exactly what most people think. The mainstream point of view certainly makes sense. However, sometimes the development of the situation will deviate from most people's predictions, like a sudden emergence of a'black swan from a group of white swans. '.'
"However, there are no black swans in the world." Joan couldn't help voicing.
"You have not counted the coat colors of all swans in the world. How can you be sure that there is absolutely no black swans?" Professor Moriarty retorted.
"Well, at least no black swans have been found so far," Joan shrugged. "Historical statistics can be used to guide future decisions."
"It's not "guidance", my child, common sense, mainstream concepts, historical data, just a reference. If things are always in line with historical data or mainstream concepts, there will be no unexpected changes in the world. However, this is not true."
"The similarity between the stock exchange and the battlefield is that unexpected fluctuations always occur."
"If the price fluctuations always meet the expectations of most people, then there is no opportunity for speculation in this market, and no one can make money."
"If the two sides of the war always arrange their troops according to the historical engagement records, then everyone knows the outcome before the war begins, and what is the need to start the war?"
"Speculative operations in securities trading are often accompanied by huge risks, as well as huge benefits equivalent to risks."
"There are also a lot of dangerous moves in the war, precisely because it is beyond the expectation of most people, so they can achieve a surprising victory."
Professor Moriarty held the pipe and smiled mysteriously.
"If I were the decision-maker of the Jodenheim military, I would choose a time when the general public determined that it was impossible to start a war, and beat the Midgard military by surprise."
Joan doesn't fully agree with the mentor's rebellious thinking that opposes the mainstream opinion, but he has to admit that there is indeed such a possibility that the mentor pointed out.
The shadow of war is still hovering over Midgard, but most people turn a blind eye to this, which is undoubtedly a dangerous sign.
The more Joan thought deeper, the heavier he felt. However, at this time, he jumped out to "sing counter-notes" publicly, reminding people to watch out for real people launching a sudden attack, which inevitably makes him look like a jealous clown clown, and this is precisely what he is the most Do not want to fall into a dilemma.
Think about it for a while, if you are discussing the Austrian-French academic issues, you are a young scholar with some fame. If you stand up and say something, it still has some influence.
However, for public political issues such as "war," he is not an authoritative figure. Even if he expresses his opinion, it will not be heard in the ears of the military's senior officials, nor will it cause any social repercussions.
After leaving the tutor, Joanne left the campus and returned to the apartment.
In the following days, his life returned to a calm state.
In addition to the previous schedule, Joan also added a sword training.
His classmates who lived under the same roof with him, Audrey, Hailar and Holden, were all masters of swordsmanship. Of course, Joan should make full use of this convenient condition. .
Audrey, Holden, and Hailar are quite loyal to Joanna, and they all impart the swordsmanship to him without secret.
This is of course a good thing, but too many "Masters" will occasionally bring happiness to Joan, a "disciple".
Audrey's swordsmanship style is mainly stable, first lay a strict defense, and then look for opportunities to counterattack, many moves require sword shield to cooperate with the display.
Holden's weapon is a short sword. The style of swordsmanship is exquisite and changeable. With the light and flexible body adapting to random changes, there are often unexpected strange tricks.
Hailar uses a heavy giant sword, wild and aggressive style, wide open and wide, no bells and whistles, pure overwhelming opponent by strength and momentum.
The swordsmanship styles of the three people are very different. When instructing Joan to train swordsmanship, there will inevitably be disagreements.
Especially in Holden and Hailar, the understanding of swordsmanship is often diametrically opposed, and the argument between the two is fierce to the point of no reconciliation.
Holden ridiculed Hailar's swordsmanship, which was simple and rude, resembling "a farmer wielding a hoe", "a bear slaps a mosquito", which was purely brute force, stupid, and lacked skill.
Hailar asserted that Holton's swordsmanship was at best a "circus juggling performance".
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