: long table speech

long table speech
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"Although there is only a 1/9 chance of being caught, it's too risky. If we get caught, we won't be able to turn this game around." Wu Fei said.
Countess and Lover is a high-risk, high-reward set of characters. But they got the key and powerful functional role doctor, so there is no need to take the risk of relying on private meetings to get the chance to assassinate the earl.
At 9:50, Wu Fei and the others came out of the small living room and returned to their respective rooms.
At ten o'clock in the evening, all the players had already returned to their rooms, and the game officially started.
Not long after Wu Fei returned to his room, the koala housekeeper came and knocked on his door: "Madam, are you going to meet with your tutor tonight for teaching activities?"
Wu Fei: "Thank you, I don't need it today, I don't want to study today."
Wu Fei knew that there was a high probability that he would be fine tonight—
The Assassin might make a move tonight, but he is doing a random blind kill tonight, and the chance of picking him is only 1/9.
What's more, the assassin may not do anything tonight, because the earl is also randomly selecting people for execution tonight. Except for the countess, the earl's lover, and the old noble who cannot be selected, the probability of other characters being executed is only 1/9.
Sure enough, the night was safe and sound, until the koala steward came to him the next day and asked, "Ma'am, which player are you going to investigate today? Every day when the discussion starts is counted as a new day, you abilities will fail if not used."
Wu Fei doesn't have any information now, so he can only choose one at random: "Is player number 13 the Earl?"
Butler Koala said: "No, madam."
Then he handed over a black cloak that can cover the whole body and a white mask, and said: "Please put on the cloak and mask, and I will take you to the hall to participate in the discussion later."
At about eight o'clock in the morning, the koala housekeeper came and took Wu Fei to the hall.
There is a long table in the hall, 14 chairs are placed beside the long table, and the digital code corresponding to the player is placed on the table in front of each chair.
Wu Fei found the seat for player 10 and sat down. Not long after, the long table was full of people, only the seat on the bottom left belonging to player 6 was empty.
In Wu Fei's eyes, the seat distribution is roughly like this—
Koala Butler
Player 1 ----- Long Table ----- Player 7
No. 2 Mr. Yuan (doctor) ----- long table ----- No. 8 San Fat (general customer)
No. 3 Shen Xing (lover) ----- long table ----- No. 9 player
Player No. 4 ----- long table ----- No. 10 yourself (Madam)
Player No. 5 ----- Long Table ----- Player No. 11
-----Long table-----Player 12
Player No. 13 (non-Count)
Both Shen Xing and Yuan Lao were diagonally opposite him, while San Pang was separated from him by a person.
The koala housekeeper stood on a chair, knocked on the table with a small mallet, and said, "One person died last night, and that person was No. 6, so he was absent from our discussion today."
"Next, we will speak in ascending order of player numbers. If you have no information to share, you can also remain silent. But each person only has one chance to speak. After all players have finished speaking, this round of discussion ends."
Wu Fei pondered, thinking about the current countermeasures.
In similar games he has played, such as the most famous Werewolf Killing, the rules are usually divided into two camps, good guys and bad guys. Bad guys can assassinate good guys, and good guys unite can vote to kill bad guys, so the purpose of the players' speeches is very clear —Bad guys need to disguise their identities to make others think they are good guys, and cast suspicion on the good guys as much as possible; good guys need to prove their innocence while working together to find the bad guys.
However, in this game, except for the Earl, 12 players are divided into 3 camps. Everyone knows who their companions are, and their goal is also very direct, which is to let the people in their camp live to the end as much as possible, so that Everyone who is not on his side dies.
But the means of attack the player has are limited—the doctor can kill one person, the assassin can kill two people, the guard can kill one person, and the earl's lover can indirectly kill one or two people by reporting.
Since at least one person in each team is an ordinary guest, even if a team is very lucky and gathers the three identities of assassin, guard, and earl's lover, or the two identities of doctor and assassin, it can only get rid of 3-5 other people. The people in the camp, and the rest of the other camps, must be removed by the count.
So in this game, the role of the group discussion session becomes that players use their own language to influence the earl, and let the earl execute people from other camps and keep people from their own camp.
So how can we influence the Earl?
The original count has no alignment, and his goal is to have as few characters as possible alive at the end of the game.
The game will inevitably end only when there is only one camp left. At this time, there are at most 4 surviving characters, and at least one. The earl naturally tends to pursue the ending with only one person left.
To give an extreme example, assume that there are only 5 players with no special abilities left besides the count, 1 from the A camp and 4 from the B camp. When he can accurately determine the camps of 5 players, the earl will definitely choose to execute the players of camp B for 3 consecutive days. When there is only one player left in camps A and B, he will randomly select a player to execute.
But before that, he still has a serious worry, which is the Countess and his lover.
Among the three camps, the one where the countess and the lover belong is referred to as the countess camp, the one where the lover and the guards are referred to as the lover's guard camp, and the one whose role is not sure is called the third camp for short.
Under normal circumstances, the lover guard camp and the third camp will only have the motivation to kill the count and restart the game only when they confirm that at least one of the countess or lover has died, and the current situation is very unfavorable to their camp.
But the countess faction will have a high incentive to kill the count if the wife and lover are both alive, because doing so can bring them huge benefits.
At the beginning, the earl knew who the countess was, but he didn't know who was in the same camp as the countess, let alone who was the lover.
That's why he would execute people suspected of being in the countess' camp first, and would rather kill by mistake, until the countess's camp left only the countess or no one left, and he knew that his life was basically safe. It will start to screen and balance the number of remaining players in order to achieve the optimal ending.
Therefore, the focus of the current discussion is to make the earl think that he is not in the countess camp.
At this time, player 1 began to speak: "I am an ordinary person, whether I am dead or alive, it has no effect on my camp. And I do not belong to the camp where the Countess is."
Wu Fei found that because of the cover of the mask and cloak, they could not see the expression and movements of the speaker. It would be more difficult to extract information from these aspects and judge whether the other party was lying.
The next one was Mr. Yuan, but Wu Fei wasn't too worried—even if Mr. Yuan and Yuan Sanpang didn't expect to distance themselves from the Countess when they spoke, they definitely knew that the four of them couldn't be seen as the same camp.
That was enough, because the count knew he was the countess.
Yuan Laodao: "We can speculate that the deceased player No. 6 will not be a doctor, assassin, earl's lover, old nobleman, or countess, but may be an ordinary guest, lover, confidant or guard. It is best to be a lover, so that their camp It will be impossible to produce a new earl."
Yuan Lao said a useful nonsense, he only made a simple reasoning but did not provide information, but it also indirectly showed that he and the countess were not in the same camp.
When it came to Shen Xing, Wu Fei felt a little worried.
He doesn't worry about his ability to analyze the spirit, he must be clear about the information he can analyze. But Shen Xing's speaking position was not good enough, with Old Yuan in front of him, and his own identity could not stand the test, so his conspicuous or low-key performance might attract suspicion.
It would be great if the fraud master was here at this time.
Shen Xing said slowly: "I think now the Earl must be eager to know who is the lover, and the people in the Countess camp must also be eager to know who the Earl is. The Earl also wants to know who is the lover, or Which three people belong to the countess camp."
"However, only two persons have the possibility of knowing who the lover is, the confidant and the count's lover."
"As time goes by, as long as the Earl's lover is alive, she will definitely know who her lover is. But even if the Earl's lover knew this information earlier, she may not tell it. Because her greatest value to the Earl is" If the count knows who the lover is or the lover is dead, the count can kill her at any time. In order to save her life, she will keep her use value as much as possible until she predicts that her lover and countess are about to be replaced, and she can no longer hide it. "
"But if there are doctors or assassins in the Countess camp, then if they are lucky, they will be able to successfully kill the Earl as soon as today. So I advise the lover's camp to carefully judge which camp the doctor and assassin are in, and when to go to the Earl Inform."
Xingshen, is this separating the lover and the earl? Wu Fei wondered in his heart.
But he is very strange today, he speaks slower than usual, and he talks a lot. Not even economists.
"The probability that the cronies will be able to test the lover is not high, and I guess whether the cronies are in the same camp as the lover or not, he has no motivation to test the suspected lover. If they are in the same camp, the abilities of the two are the same, so there is no need to repeat the verification ;
If the cronies are in the third camp, because the countess camp has counts and lovers to monitor and deal with them, they don’t have to worry too much about the replacement of their lovers, so they are more inclined to investigate characters that will affect whether they can win in the end and have lethal capabilities, such as Doctors, Assassins, Guards, and the Countess—
I would like to remind everyone that the lethal characters who are not in the countess camp must remember to keep their knives. The count cannot kill his wife on his own initiative. If he can't take away his wife and lover through the smuggling meeting, then other characters must do it. Kill the Countess. Otherwise, once the lover died, the other camps would not save their swords to kill the lady, but the countess camp would definitely win in the end. So if the confidant is not in the first camp, here I suggest that he first check the person who may be the Countess;
If the cronies are in the first camp, he will definitely help the lady to check the earl or other characters who can threaten them. But this is actually good news, because it can show that the countess camp has no lethal characters. "
"The above is my analysis. I believe everyone can understand my position. I am not from the Countess camp."
Now no one will let himself be related to the countess camp, just like everyone in Werewolf Killing will say that he is a good person.
At this point, everyone present basically understood this point.
Player No. 4 immediately said directly: "I hope the earl can let me go today, and don't waste your precious execution opportunity. From my standpoint, I only hope that you will execute your lover as soon as possible."
Player No. 5 followed suit: "My situation is the same, nothing special. I also hope that the Earl can execute his lover as soon as possible."
Player No. 7 said: "Player No. 3 has analyzed a lot. Although his speech seems pertinent, it is safer to test it. I hope the count's lover can verify his identity. If he is found to be his lover, he will be executed as soon as possible."
Then it was Yuan Zhicheng's turn to speak.
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