Chapter 30: Leon's reason

　　 On the way back, Wallace was complaining to Leon. He felt Leon’s answer was too sloppy.
"You can say that we are optimistic about Michael Reid, and then catch up with a few other players by the way. This answer is normal, but you add the sentence'He is the best player in this training camp,' Oh my God, His prediction is in the second round, my good buddy in the second round. Do you think the people in front will die the night before the draft?" Wallace's complaint didn't mean to blame, after all, he didn't agree with him before the interview. Leon ventilates, this is the first time he has been interviewed, and he has performed quite well.
　　 In O'Brien's words, it would be great if he didn't mistake his name and gender.
Leon just smiled and did not speak, and did not refute, because he himself had no full reason to persuade the Celtics scout team to think that Michael Reid was the best player in this rookie class. The reason why he I said that in the interview, purely from my own intuition.
Just like Auerbach said, Leon decided to trust intuition for the time being in judging the pros and cons of players, because the data is not reliable enough for the time being, and the experience is even more lacking. He has only that intuition advantage. Auerbach training camp chose Michael Carter-Williams, he just thinks this guy is the best in training camp.
"Michael Reid, I know him. If he runs in 1999, he might be selected in the top ten in the first round. But this year, you can see his declining data year by year, and his physical test, which is very mediocre. I really can't think of any reason why he would be selected in the first round, let alone the best player." Vogel looked at the scout report on Reid and commented.
　　 In 1999, Reid led Ohio University to the final semi-finals. Although he lost to the University of Connecticut led by Richard Hamilton, reaching the semi-finals was nothing short of the limelight.
However, he did not participate in the election that year, but played for another year. As a result, the team failed to reproduce the glory of 1999, and his personal data also declined year by year, which made his score in scouts drop very much. It's great, it fell directly from the first round of prediction to the middle of the second round.
And so far, no team has shown a particularly obvious interest in Reid. On the first day of the rookie training camp, Reid’s performance can only be said to be quite satisfactory, and he has not performed particularly brightly to change the scouts. His senses.
　　Only Leon paid special attention to Reid. He carefully observed Reid's mid-range and three-point test training, and came to only one conclusion: this guy's shooting is really unstable.
　　 Leon’s judgment is not the number of hits, nor the shooting posture. He doesn’t know what a standard shooting posture is. Leon focuses on the distribution of the final drop points of each shot.
　　 If you open Leon’s notebook, you will see a strange picture on the sixth page.
A standard circle is drawn in the center of the note page-this is Leon's freehand drawing, and then there are many smaller circles on this larger circle, and the faces of these circles are pressed on the sides of the larger circle. .
　　At the same time, this large circle is divided into four parts by two mutually perpendicular straight lines, so that these small circles will be distributed in the four quadrants.
　　 The picture on this page is the distribution of shots and irons drawn by Leon for Michael Reid. These small circles are the approximate positions of Reid's missed shots and the basketball hit the rim that Leon observed through his extraordinary eyesight.
　　 From this figure, Leon can find that these small circles are distributed in the four quadrants, and the distribution is very irregular. Throughout the afternoon, Reid missed about 30 goals. Although the sample size is far from enough, Leon can feel from these shots that Reid’s shot adjustment ability should not be strong, a truly outstanding one. A pitcher, even if he can't make a shot, the position where he hits the basket should be exactly in one place.
　　 However, Leon still has reason to believe that Michael Reid will be the best player and the best pitcher.
　　 Regardless of how other people complain, Leon just sat in the car quietly and silently perfected the picture on page 6. He has an impulse to use a distribution function to describe the distribution of Reed's shooting points, but when he thought that shooting is not a random event, and at the same time, he thought of the impossibility of using a distribution function to predict complex events, so he cut off this idea.
　　……………………
The first day of training camp was spent like this. The scout work was a huge challenge for Leon, but it was also a huge fun. Although it would be difficult to establish and develop here, he felt fulfilled and fulfilled. Excited, especially when he found that he could touch his beloved number again.
　　 This may be something Auerbach hadn't thought of. He only valued Leon's intuition and observation, but he did not expect this guy to have a more ambitious goal-to describe and predict the sports world with numbers.
Of course, Leon did not think so far at this time. The reason why he fiddled with the numbers was actually very simple-he had too little experience in basketball, and he could only use these previous data to reconstruct what happened on the basketball court. .
　　 After returning to the hotel, Leon went back to work, this time he will not only face data but also video.
When Leon went to the training camp, the anti-recording camera filmed for a whole day, shooting all the details on the field, so that after returning to the hotel, Vogel edited and analyzed to discover more valuable content.
　　Video analysis in the NBA is a very important daily work. Each team will set up a video analyst position, allowing them to use their sharp eyes to discover various problems in the game and training, and show them to coaches and players with intuitive images.
The five members of the coaching team watched Vogel’s edited training camp video together in Vogel’s room. Two of the five people sat on the sofa, two on the bed, and one on the ground, all staring directly at the TV screen. People who don’t know will think that five people are watching a small movie.
Vogel focused on editing the training process of several Celtics favorite players, including Pulzbila, Samaki, Moiso, Magloire, and of course Vogel added Michael Lee in the end. Germany.
　　 Vogel was playing the video while explaining in slow motion. At the end, everyone's eyes hurt.
"Oh my God, this Michael Reid's shot is like throwing dung. Originally, my eyes hurt a bit, but now it hurts even more." When Chris Wallace saw the Michael Reid part, it was already Rubbing his eyes began to call.
But Pitino said: "This Reid does have some potential. Although various factors before the draft are not good for him, some of his talents are still impressive, especially his sense of the ball, which is quite unique. But his Shooting is really a big problem. It's not stable enough, and the shooting posture is very substandard. I don't know Leon, why are you optimistic about this guy?"
This is the first time Pitino has really communicated with Leon in basketball. He had always had opinions on him and made things difficult for him. But after three days of getting along, he found that Leon is a good employee. First of all, he works seriously. Efforts, responsibility, a lot of the team’s work is done by him who is strong; secondly, he is really unique in basketball, at least his notebook can’t be read by anyone; finally, Pitino is also tired , I don’t want to make senseless fights anymore, since let him be a scout, then do it.
　　 Leon stood up from the ground and said to Vogel: "Play back the video, replay it, okay, look at this paragraph."
　　 The video replays to the ball-handling offensive training, which is the part of the test player's offense with the ball-side basket.
　　 Then, Leon asked Vogel to replay several times and watched several parts of the ball-handling training. UU read www.uukanshu.com and Leon asked everyone: "Didn't you find anything?"
　　 Wallace looked confused, Vogel thoughtfully, O'Brien shook his head, Pitino looked up at the ceiling, everyone was silent.
　　 Leon didn’t sell off, he said:
Although Michael Reid shoots with his left hand, he is a right-handed man!

　　 "Right-handed?" Vogel couldn't help saying. He had no idea that Michael Reid, this left-handed player, would be right-handed.
"Yes, Reid is a right-handed. Although he shoots with his left hand, in fact, judging from his other game habits, he is completely right-handed. This can be seen from some of his movements. For example, he is playing When facing the opponent with the ball, he habitually protects the ball with his right hand and stretches his right foot to test." Leon said, pointing to a video.
　　 Most NBA players are left-handed or right-handed, especially for guards. You can hardly tell whether he is left-handed or right-handed by looking at the dribble.
　　 Only shooting is the best and most intuitive way to distinguish whether a player is a left-handed player or a right-handed player.
　　 However, there are also some players who have to use their non-dominant hand to shoot the basket, and the hard work and effort to come back in this way is unimaginable for ordinary players.
　　Michael Reid is one of them.
　　 This is one of the reasons Leon believes that Reid can be the best player. Although this is not a great reason, Leon has a foreboding that this will be a player who changes his destiny with diligence.
　　Leon understands how important it is to work hard in a rookie with no talent.
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