Chapter 781: 1. The wolf of change (5)


The development of history has its inevitability, and this is an everlasting truth.
The vast majority of the wars are caused by the balance of power being broken. This time it seems to be no exception. The anti-Charlemagne alliance led by Albion has basically surfaced, the church refused to conduct mediation, the countries began to control the export of materials to Charlemagne, the establishment of the Dawson Bank and the continued decline in silver prices... Not long ago Charlemagne now has fallen into the dilemma of being poor and difficult to parry. Unless some kind of "decisive measure" is taken, it seems inevitable to spit out the previous swallows.
Various games and confrontations are pushing the world more and more into the abyss of full-scale war. Everything seems to be an inevitable fixed number. However, if Li Lin, who is the initiator, evaluates, he will make it clear that in a country like Charlemagne where the political ecology is extremely special and policy coherence is insufficient. The cascading effect of accidental events is entirely possible to transcend inevitability and achieve unexpected effects. Charlemagne's aggressive policy is of course self-inflated and the inevitability of long-term expansion planning. But when the decision was made to deal with Albion at the last moment, it was largely accidental.
The long-term sinking into the Castilian quagmire made the Charlieman Treasury increasingly empty. The high war expenditures consumed 87% of the gold reserves in less than a year. Against the background of surplus silver and sharply falling silver prices, Charlemagne has been unable to develop international trade. It was at this time that Albion took the lead in announcing the replacement of silver with gold as the currency for international trade settlement, and on the basis of domestic gold reserves, issuing credit currency called "bank notes" instead of gold and silver coins in circulation. To this end, Dawson Bank was established in a joint venture with other countries to coordinate the transformation of the gold exchange standard and exchange rate adjustment.
This news is a bit of a thunderbolt for Charlemagne who insists on the silver standard. Since the countries began to restrict the export of materials to Charlemagne, the gold standard has been the last card that can be played. The start of the gold standard almost means war. Now Charlemagne has been pushed to a crossroads of war or peace: Either abandon the ambition to invade Castile and other regions, but this will lead to riots of some royal members and army forces; Yiyu, the world is armed. The most disadvantageous thing is to build a self-sufficient "common prosperity circle" and form a confrontation with the alliance. In addition, it is meaningless to continue the endless negotiations with Albion. This will only continue to weaken Charlemagne’s military and economic power. It is difficult to withstand the pressure from Albian.
The stalemate in Castile's battlefield, the ability and thinking of the upper classes of Charlemagne and the army, coupled with the secret manipulation of certain forces, all determine the fate of peace.
In a messy atmosphere, the Charlieman Navy, which had kept a low profile, began to make waves.
Due to the geopolitical situation and the Prime Minister’s deliberate suppression. The navy has long been in a subordinate position in national strategy. But this does not mean that the Navy does not want to do something. It was an attempt in this regard to force the Grand Duke Maximilian of Ostoria last year to the Central-South Colony. It was almost since then that the naval hardliners began to prepare their own policy research institutions to achieve "changes". By the end of the year, the Navy had established a "National Defense Policy Committee." Under the first (defense policy), second (armament), third (national guidance), fourth (intelligence) committees, the purpose is to quickly determine the policy-the national policy for the service of the navy. Then, who are the members of the committee? Lieutenant Colonel Paul Horst, Major Prosper Enfontaine, Major Ferdinand de Lesseps...the entire hard-liner club.
In less than a month, the committee quickly issued a submission entitled "Wang Jiajun's Attitudes Under the Current Situation" and submitted it to the Cabinet for review, which clearly stated: "Even if Albion is now victorious With the passage of time, this grasp will become smaller and smaller. Due to the impact of the decline in silver, military production and shipbuilding are bound to be severely affected. It will be difficult to sustain in the second half of next year...Since the conflict is inevitable, the more time Late is not good."
At first glance, this passage still has some truth. At this point, the report pen turns and writes: "Even if you want to be an enemy with the countries and seize the overseas colonies occupied by Castile, there will not be next year. What is the problem. At present, our military fleet is the same size as the Albion naval fleet, but if our army invests a small amount of force to harass the maritime traffic lines and overseas colonies, Albion has to divide its troops to protect overseas interests. The strength comparison of the fleet is roughly 7:10. It must be the time to fight Albion. By the end of the year, more ships will be overhauled, and combat will be difficult."
A group of school officials dared to write such a statement in the important report to the cabinet, not to mention the small hearts of the ministers. The essence of this passage is to say that the navy is ready for war, and even the timing of the division has been considered mature.
This is a typical "Xia Ke Shang", but unlike the Army where there are only a dozen or so people, seven or eight guns can make a big deal out of you. If you are not a captain, you can not command a warship. If you are not a commander, you can command a fleet. Some of the navy's navy officers are still avid. The nature of the navy determines that it is not a matter of one or two people to run away. It is really necessary to start a full-scale war, and the fleet commander and the navy headquarters must nod. The Secretary of the Navy is the nephew of Archbishop Li, Jean Armand de Maier. Breeze Marshal. He has considerable prestige in the navy. Packing up the captain of the "running away" is almost like killing an ant. "Young Master" is very angry at this unpredictable behavior, and he is puffing up his sleeves when he is going to pick up the nonsense. The Minister of the Army, Thalya, and the Titans Commander Jamitev did a thing that made everyone fall through their glasses-a joint letter, and they endeavored to agree that this report is very good and powerful, and eloquently declared that this is "the Kingdom of Decision." "Fate's necessary action", anyone who opposes who is a non-national, a spy sent by Albion, must die.
It was surprising that the two enemies were able to put together a pair of opponents. The two armies together agreed with the navy's opinion. This is definitely a head start, and people can't help but wonder what the these guys are holding back?
In fact, the Army and Titans had a simple idea and got rid of the predicament.
Not stalemate and stalemate on the battlefield, but the unfavorable situation of political struggle. Due to the success of the Salba Du District, the reputation of the fourth prince is skyrocketing. The positions of the crown prince and the second prince are already in jeopardy, and the direction of public opinion is becoming more and more unfriendly to the military's military expansion route. In this case, the only way to regain control of the dominant power is to win, a pure great victory, to defeat all enemies with glory in the decisive battle. In other words. Their motives for supporting the Navy’s comprehensive war plan are not based on strategic considerations. It has nothing to do with military reasons, and its core purpose is only an excuse for a full-scale war to obtain a victory that is crucial to the battle for succession to the throne.
The small calculations of the army and the princes could not hide the old fox Richelieu, and the Prime Minister was firmly opposed to the full-scale war. Anxious for his old man to dare to kill a few princes and generals to put a coffin on himself. Anyway, it's the man who buried the neck in the loess. It’s not much different if you live two more days and live less. But this group of kings and lambs must not be allowed to lead the country into the abyss.
It is terrible to take out the people who don’t want to die, but Archbishop Li, who has to break the jade and stop the army from running away, is defeated. The reason is very simple. The Secretary of the Army and the General Manager Titans threatened the Prime Minister: if there are unscrupulous people trying to commit military command. The military will no longer be able to fulfill its mission, and as the head of the military, they can only resign to take responsibility.
To put it bluntly, he used threats to threaten the prime minister. We have the final say in this matter. Don't try to make trouble, if things can't be done. Sorry, we have no choice but to retire early and go home to play with our grandchildren. As for the Secretary of the Army and Titans, whoever loves to do it.
Bishop Li, who has always been hot and spicy, was suddenly ashamed.
Charlemagne implements the "active military officer system". According to this system, the military director must be the active military personnel. In this way, as long as the military is dissatisfied with the government, only the army minister and commander-in-chief Titans resign and refuse to be sent to take over the minister, cabinet Because of the vacancy in the position of an important minister, he can only resign. Even if the new prime minister has already been named by the king, as long as the army doesn’t buy it, the generals can’t form a cabinet if they don’t pretend to be sick or fool.
This is a serious threat to the power of the king and the central government. To change the time, Richelieu must let people drag the two out and click. But now the navy under one hand is at the threshold of a runaway, and the two armies that were once in disagreement are now united, which means that the royal forces behind them have formed an alliance and are determined to save the decline at all costs. If Richelieu had to forcibly stop it, they would not mind engaging in "Tianzhu State Thief" and "Qingjun Side"...
Before the risk of civil war, Richelieu flinched. As a result, Charlemagne continued to glide in the direction of destruction, and Richelieu had to pilot Charlemagne on this journey of death. The story was almost tragic.
The Army and Titans support the Navy’s war plan, but they are completely different in setting specific strategic goals.
The navy envisioned a short "limited war", that is, under unfavorable negotiations, the occupation of Albion's overseas colonies by force, the search for gold and other much-needed resources, and forced the parties to recognize this fact. The required troops and materials do not need to be too much, and can be cancelled as soon as negotiations are negotiated or the situation changes; what the Army and Titans need is a glorious victory serving the interests of small political groups and a comprehensive battle for national mobilization . The differences between the two sides have evolved into an inexplicable word game, and the relevant policies are almost verbatim.
From the initial "decision to move forward" to "resolutely fight for one", to "resolve to fight", and finally to decide "to fight against the violent Albion", the process of the above obscure word replacement process can actually be simplified to A clear saying is that Charlieman’s initial
southward advance
towards Castile was based on the premise of the
Seven-Day War
experience and absolute self-confidence in his own strength. The goal was to remove the strategic threats behind him To connect the coastline, I did not expect to encounter the
international column
with the secret support of various countries, nor did I expect that Albion would connect other countries to take
excessive measures
to abandon the silver standard and switch to the gold standard; Under the violent impact of the plunge, activists within the navy hijacked the navy and made a decision to fight Albion and quickly seize the southern colony; the army and titans hijacked the navy, limiting a goal and time Short-lived local wars expanded into full-scale aggression and annexation; the three forces that hijacked each other hijacked the government as a whole, using various means to undermine negotiations, making "warfare" the last and only option.
From the perspective of the whole process, despite the choice, it is still inevitable that there will be a war. However, Charlemagne had decided to start a full-scale war without setting up systematic strategic guidance. He embarked on a journey with the mentality of "fighting and watching", which was not entirely in line with the "inevitability", but the decline of the silver standard. Stimulated "non-policy expansion".
After the situation became clear, the rest of the matter was much simpler. Charlieman continued to negotiate while preparing for the war secretly, and issued the code of "Crossing the Rubicon, Huayue 08.", which means "Huayue 8th At 0 o'clock in the afternoon, the combat operation will start as scheduled.
In this way, Charlemagne's three armed forces have entered the vast ocean with the missing strategic system, the hijacked government, the inexplicable state of ignorance, "the invincible spiritual atomic bomb", "the blessing of the goddess" and the entire country. The gambling table looks fierce and full of confidence, but it is not far from the end.
"Whoever counts more in the temple will have more chances to win; those who count less in the temple will have less chance to win."
Sun Zi's judgments are no different from those of the Charlie Man soldiers, even if they are explained to them, I am afraid they will be wronged. It seems to them that their "miaosuan" is not too much. Why is there a "less chance of winning"?
The biggest shortcoming of those who participate in the "Tao" is that they don't talk about "The Avenue" at all. Charlieman’s soldiers do not understand strategy, let alone war. The starting point is not the country’s long-term strategic goals, but the military’s own interests and the military’s own interests. If it is an army dominated by civil servants, it is not a problem for combat officers not to understand war, and their own civil servants are setting the direction. Today, Charlemagne is a militaristic country. The country is hijacked by soldiers, and this group of soldiers do not understand what war is. They confuse war with combat. There is no second destiny except complete defeat. Li Lin and the elf camp should only consider choosing the most appropriate time to maximize profits.
Everything went according to plan, no left, no right, no sorrow, no joy.
Life is nothing but nothingness.
No... that doesn't seem to be the case for most people.
Humans will always believe in unfounded "possibilities" and pin their hopes on some illusory things, until they finally break their heads in the cruel reality, they will all go towards that trace of just "possible" Reach out in the direction of ~EbookFREE.me~ and create some incredible situations from time to time.
For this, Li Lin once experienced it for himself.
So until the final plan is successful, there can be no relaxation
Calculating the time, it is just a matter of days before the experimental animals in flight arrived in the Salba Du District. Nowadays, the eyes of the parties are more or less focused on it. It is not a good thing to expose the things that are not visible in this matter. In order to avoid this situation, we have assembled a luxurious search processing lineup. It stands to reason that nothing should happen...
but.
If something happens, the experimental animal comes into contact with him—
(If you really want that, you can only deal with it yourself.)
Among the red pupils staring at the map, there is a transcendence that human humble feelings cannot match.
.
Life is full of fun. To be continued. .
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