Chapter 347: See through

The scene was silent for more than ten seconds, and the air was almost condensed until the representative of Evergrande first responded. "We did stock up some houses, but for the entire real estate industry, it can only be said that it is only a part. Don't Mr. Liu deny it? "
Liu Fan nodded. "Continue."
"So once the house plummets, even if we lose the money we eat ourselves, but more houses? First of all, we will not have as many bad debts as the rice country, but we will still have a certain amount of bad debts. Second, The economic structure dominated by real estate has been for so many years. Although technology is absorbing a lot of capital, the inherent volume of real estate is there. If there is a sharp decline, can the country quickly respond to the rapid transformation of this economic institution?
Finally, the real estate interest chain, because of the rising characteristics of real estate, so the rise of real estate has long been not a problem of real estate itself. A large number of related industrial chains rely on real estate to survive. Once the house plummets, rapid unemployment, financial market turbulence, and related investment losses , And even the emergence of some social problems, we should always face it and solve it?
Today we came to you for our own sake, at least I admit it, but it is also for the stability of society. "
Liu Fan sat down and Evergrande was able to give this attitude, so it was necessary to talk to them well, "Let ’s say that, there are three points. First, the core issue of housing prices is not the plunge. Second, Real estate reform, and third, the preparation of Mulong Technology. "
"Why do I say that the core problem of house prices is not a plummet now? Two reasons, one is because I think the probability of a short-term house price plunge is very low, because Mulong Technology is now solving external nuclear problems, but many core problems are not Will change.
For example, the Chinese people bind the concept of house to home. I can be sure that after ten or twenty years, the mother-in-law will still want the house, and their demand for the house has nothing to do with the house price itself.
For example, the pursuit of people going to high places, I have said this many times, what I solve is that relative fairness is not absolute fairness, the advantages of big cities are always there, we just give people more choices. But when conditions permit, you do n’t have to worry about no one in the big city. China ’s 1.4 billion people, Shanghai Yanjing can only hold tens of millions, and those who choose to stay in the big city will buy a house. .
House prices are based on the trend of housing prices in big cities. If big cities do not plummet, small cities will be stable. Those who ca n’t, even if they do n’t have Mulong Technology, will fall, just like Hegang.
On the other hand, have you not noticed that house prices have started to fall slightly recently, and national expectations of house prices have started to change, but have rents risen! "
Everyone's expressions have undergone subtle changes. They are all big names in the industry, and all of a sudden I understood Liu Fan's meaning.
"The biggest problem with Huaxia's real estate now is that the real estate is severely unevenly distributed!
Our house is with our wealth, because in the past few years, everyone went to buy a house when they had money, so the house is also gathered in the hands of a small number of people. According to official data, our vacancy rate is 25%. Foreign The data is 30%, but this is only the vacancy rate. Everyone knows that most of the houses are rented out. It is not considered vacant when rented out.
Therefore, the real house we own now may be exaggerated to be the same as wealth, 28 points.
Among them, the largest group is retail investors. Many of our folks have five or six sets of real estate retailers in the dozens of houses. They are not like hundreds or thousands of houses in your hands, but they are like this. The base is large.
But will these people's houses be sold? They wo n’t sell because they do n’t have a reason to sell a house. People like them do n’t lack money and do n’t want to spend money elsewhere to invest. It ’s very comfortable to collect rent every month for a small life.
You asked him to sell the house now, and he held millions and tens of millions without knowing what to do.
Deposit bank? The house dividends are used to them, and they don't pay attention to the interest of the bank.
But aren't they afraid that house prices will plummet? Of course they will be afraid, but they have their own judgment and bottom line.
Their judgment is what I said about the core of buying a house. The Chinese people ’s obsession with buying a house and the attractiveness of big cities still exist. At this time, they see more clearly that there are not so many real sellers in the market. House of.
Therefore, the number of buyers is slightly smaller, and the problem is not serious, because a large part of the potential buyers of this reduced number may not be able to afford it.
In their judgment, house prices would fall, but not so much. As for the phenomenon of the so-called hot money starting to withdraw from real estate, they can also see it, but what they see more is that you, developers and real estate speculators have not started to sell.
This is their bottom line.
As long as you do n’t sell, they are even less afraid. If you do n’t sell, there will be someone sitting on the bottom of the real estate. If you do n’t sell, there will not be a big increase in the house in the market. If you do n’t sell, it means that things are not so bad.
For them, as long as the house price has not fallen to an exaggerated share, they are generally not losing money. What they want now is those rents that they receive every month, and they have no reason to sell.
The problem is that they are holding a large number of houses in their hands, using the behavior of your developers and speculators as a vane, and dragging the house in their hands, this will cause two extremes of housing prices at this time, you do not move Because there are too few houses circulating in the market, house prices will freeze.
Or, if you don't think about house prices for a long time, you can't stand it, it collapses, and you start to sell. And you as their vane, once you sell, they will really panic. As the main force, you can be relatively sane, but retail investors are never sensible. You and I understand this principle. When they see you really It has started to sell, and it will only continue to lower prices. So if there is a real plunge, it is not because of Mulong Technology, but because of the irrational behavior of ordinary people who store in the house ~ EbookFREE.me ~ Really come to that step, the middle of the house price A period of price bubbles is likely to burst in a short time. How fast this speed will be, I believe it will be beyond everyone's expectations.
In fact, you should understand this, but you should come to me for two reasons. The first is that you hope that house prices will continue to rise, and the second is that if you continue to do so, you may be really stretched out. Your losses will be huge.
So the situation now is that if you want to find a way to keep house prices going up like before, you can go now.
If everyone just doesn't want to face the crash, then let the market return to its proper pattern. The way to return is to let everyone slowly hand over the house where they were fired.
I firmly believe that as long as things follow the law, nothing goes wrong. This law is not only the price, but the house is really used to live, and each family has a reasonable number of houses.
Live by yourself, not real estate.
If you have the intention to make the house prices return to a reasonable level, and everyone is willing to earn less, not so profitable, then I will give you a proposal to allow these people to sell these houses at a more reasonable price and let them be fired. The house returns to the market, so that the house and demand gradually form a reasonable price.
This process may take several years, but as long as the return is reasonable, all problems can be solved, and the loss of the loser will be minimized.
So you think about it and are willing to talk about it. I will talk about my approach and the preparation of our Mulong technology. If you do n’t want the low income from reasonable house prices, the door is there. "
Everyone looked at each other, they did not expect that Liu Fan saw so thoroughly ...