Chapter 165: Strategic deception

London
Since the beginning of the European arms race, the British government has expressed close attention and is well aware of the movements of various countries.
Foreign Minister Palmerston hurriedly said: "Through the information we have gathered, the Austrian government ’s expansion should be directed at the Ottoman Empire.
It's just that a little has happened, and the Austrian government may have compromised with the Russians. If you want to stir up Russia-Austria conflict, it will not be possible in a short time.
But there are more conflicts of interest, and no matter how good the relationship is, it will be destroyed. From the moment Austria entered the Balkans, the Russian-Austrian alliance was doomed ... "
Prime Minister John Russell frowned, questioning: "Mr. Palmerston, I believe that the Russian-Olympic League will be broken sooner or later. But this time may be three years later, five years later, but it will never be now .
Before their common enemy, the Ottoman Empire, Russia and Austria could cooperate closely.
The seeds of hatred were planted hundreds of years ago, and neither the Russians nor the Austrians wanted to let the Ottoman Empire fall.
In addition to hatred, there are more exciting benefits. The Russians liked the Black Sea Strait, and the Austrians liked the Danube.
The Ottoman Empire was too weak, and was followed by two bandits. We just couldn't let them fall now.
It didn't matter if the Austrians were plotting the Danube, but once the Black Sea Strait fell into the hands of the Russians, we lost a lot.
I don't think that a Constantinople can satisfy the appetite of the Tsarist government. After so many years of desire, they are going to be released now, absolutely shocking.
Once the Ottoman Empire fell, the Austrians would annex up to half of the Balkan Peninsula, and the Russians would occupy the land along the Black Sea Strait.
Not only will our interests in the Ottoman Empire be insured, but even our interests in the Mediterranean will be greatly affected, and even South Africa and India will be threatened by the Russians. "
This is the point. The British need the Ottoman Empire to block the Russians. No one wants to be a neighbor with the Russians, and John Bull is no exception.
By allowing the Russians to embezzle the Ottoman Empire and take control of this central location across Asia, Europe, and Africa, the situation was completely out of control.
Palmerston explained with a somber face: "The Prime Minister, the situation is not so bad. No European country wants to see the Russians grow bigger, and this is the opportunity.
Whether the Austrians and the Russians have reached an agreement, and where the bottom line is on both sides is unknown.
One thing is for sure, the Austrians do n’t want the Russians to grow. As old neighbors, the threat of the Russians estimates their feelings more accurately.
Therefore, in this war that is about to erupt, most of them will just take advantage, and then sit on the mountain and watch the tiger fight, killing the Ottoman Empire with one stick is not good for them.
The strength of the Ottoman Empire is not weak, as long as they can clearly distinguish the enemy's priorities and focus on defending the Russian offense, we should be able to persist for a long time with our support.
During this period, we can join forces with European countries such as France, Prussia, and Spain to intervene in this war. "
This explanation is not satisfactory. From the current situation, the foreign policy adopted by the London government has failed.
There is nothing wrong with directing Austria to the Balkans. The problem is that the unreasonable fur bears are going to break the game violently?
Looking at the time for the Russians to prepare for the war, everyone knows that this war is definitely not a trivial matter. Coupled with an Austria who wants to find cheap, if there is no external intervention, the Ottoman Empire will be able to resist the past this time.
The British have long known that the Russian-Turkish war is about to break out. Not only do they know that all European countries have this mental preparation.
The friendly match between the Russians and the Ottomans has been played many times. Everyone has figured out the rules. Basically, a generation has grown up, and the two sides will play a match.
This kind of friendly match is not always a decisive battle. In many cases, it is also a local war. Any excuse can be used to fight, and when the fight is almost over, the war is stopped.
This can be seen from the preparation time. In general, the more fully prepared, the more intense the war.
Beginning in the second half of 1849, the Russians were preparing, and there is no sign of it yet. The scale of this war is imaginable.
Against this background, the introduction of Austria into the Balkans naturally exacerbated this chaos. If the Russia-Austria confrontation is okay, if Russia and Austria join forces, God cannot save the Ottoman Empire.
Palmerston naturally had a headache. He knew that this situation would happen, and he was too lazy to control the Kingdom of Sardinia, which caused Austria to fall into the mire of Italy.
Then the situation is much better now. Austria, which has no energy to expand, is definitely a vanguard against Russian expansion.
This is an inevitable result. If no benefit is obtained, Franz will also oppose the continued expansion of the Russians.
Not because of jealousy, but the need of national strategy. Everyone understands that the Russians are stronger, which naturally means that Austria has fallen relatively.
John Russell thought for a while and said, "The Ministry of Foreign Affairs can start acting now. In case Russia and Austria join forces to operate against the Ottoman Empire, they won't hold on for long."
At this time, the British were not ready to go shirtless. As for their pocket army, they will be swallowed up by the war before sending out.
The point is that the gold medalist French has not returned, and Napoleon III has not yet been restored, and the parliament and the president are still in battle.
The French government, which has been struggling severely, has no weight in speaking internationally. The commitments made by the French Foreign Ministry are difficult to fulfill.
...
Paris
The international change is a disaster for many people, but for Louis-Napoleon-Bonabas, it is an opportunity.
The British needed a stable French government to play a role in the subsequent Russo-Turkish war and suppress Russian ambitions.
At this time, besides supporting him, is there a better option?
Can't we always support parliament? They are not as efficient as a dictator.
The restoration plan has been born in the Napoleonic school, and there is only a suitable opportunity to launch it.
As for the issue of Austria's expansion and preparation for war, like the British, Louis-Napoleon-Bonabba also believed that Austria was heading for the Balkans.
In order to induce strategic misjudgments in various countries, the Austrian government is not just talking.
Sending spies to the Balkans and being caught by the Ottoman Empire is just a trick. At the junction of Austria and the Ottoman Empire, the troops were only routinely operated.
Austrian public opinion also turned up the old accounts of the Ottoman Empire. The Balkan strategy formulated by the military came up for discussion at a margin of difference.
If you don't know that Austria is going to avenge the Ottomans, it must not be Austrians.
There are also various strategic materials, which are constantly being transported to Transylvania for storage. It seems that there is only one excuse for Austria to send troops to the Danube.
To deceive oneself, to deceive oneself, Franz still understands this, everyone believes, are they afraid that the enemy will not believe it?
Except for members of the Austrian Cabinet, only a few high-ranking generals in the military know the real purpose of the government, and most Austrians think that the government is about to go to war with the Ottoman Empire.
In many official media, a thorough analysis shows that the Russian-Turkish war is about to break out. Austria can just pick up the cheap, and you can occupy the Danube River without paying too much.
After this series of actions, Britain and France naturally thought that Austria would start the Balkans.
The westward plan was completely covered up. The only action is probably that the speed of domestic railway construction has suddenly accelerated.
Even the railway built by Bavaria has added a lot of enthusiastic people in the society to provide them with convenience.
Many people are still urging the Royal Bavarian Railway Company to speed up so that they don't delay making money.
Austria's strategic deception scheme not only deceived Britain and France, but also confused the Prussians. When it was determined that Austria's goal was the Balkans, Frederick-William IV had done nothing but show envy and envy.
There is no way. Russia and Austria will start the Ottoman Empire. No matter how envious they are, they will not be able to run over to share a piece of cake.
Geopolitics determined the interests of the Ottoman Empire and had nothing to do with the Kingdom of Prussia. In that case, the Austrians would go with them if they wanted to expand. Anyway, there is no own interest in it. Of course, the Kingdom of Prussia does not need to follow up.
Not only a few powers were fooled, but even the Swiss, who had been in a hurry for a long time, breathed a sigh of relief and determined that the Austrians were not going for them. The life and death of the Ottomans were not their business.
Under the preaching of the media, it is well known that Russia and Austria are preparing for the obscure news of the Ottoman Empire.
It doesn't matter, it hangs high. The Europeans have turned into melons and are waiting for the show to begin.
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