Vol 5 Chapter 79: , Agricultural issues
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Bulgarian Empire
- New Sea Moon
- 2354 characters
- 2021-03-03 10:30:54
Genius remembers the site address in one second: (Vertex Chinese), the fastest update! No ads!? By the end of 1925, Bulgaria’s ten-year plan has been completed more than half, and many early-stage investment projects have now reached the harvest time .
As of now, the total industrial volume of Bulgaria has increased by 63% compared to 1921, with an average annual industrial growth rate of 13%, ranking first in the world.
On the other hand, Ferdinand's biggest competitor, the British Empire, has experienced negative growth in the total industrial volume in recent years. Compared with 1921, not only did it not grow, but fell by nearly 13%.
Ferdinand was not surprised by this situation. During the same period in history, the British industry was also in a state of decline. Before the outbreak of the economic crisis in 1929, the British Empire’s total industry accounted for only 9% of the world’s total, compared with 1913. Fell by a third in the year.
Without the help of the three North American countries to pull the data, the total amount of industry in the British Empire is actually horrible, and the total amount of domestic industry has been overtaken by Bulgaria.
The population engaged in manufacturing fell by a quarter compared with the previous year. If it were not for the chaos in Germany, it is estimated that this decline would have been even greater.
No matter how it fell, the British Empire is still the world's number one industrial power, accounting for 30.6% of the global industrial total, followed by Bulgaria, which accounts for only 10% of the global industrial total. At 8.3, the gap between the two sides is still huge.
In contrast, the industrial growth rates of Germany and Italy are very impressive, with annual growth rates exceeding 10%, although the growth is only in light industry.
The total amount of industry in Italy now has surpassed its peak, and has increased by nearly 18% compared to the peak in 1914.
Germany has also returned to the total industrial volume of 1907, and this figure would have been even higher without the sudden outbreak of the Ruhr crisis.
If Britain and France continue to transfer production capacity, German industry may recover in a few years, and Italy will have a chance to surpass France and become the fourth largest industrial country in Europe.
Although Britain and France are going downhill in industry, their economic development speed is not slow at all, far exceeding the world average economic growth level.
Under the dividend of de-industrialization, the economic growth rate of the British reached 6.3% in 1925, and the economic growth rate of the French reached 7.1%.
At least half of this increase was contributed by real estate. As a price, the average increase in house prices in Britain in 1925 exceeded 40%, while house prices in London nearly tripled.
The average price increase in France has also exceeded 20%, and the price increase in Paris is as high as 100%.
These are all inevitable. The British Isles are limited in size and housing prices are growing at a rapid rate. In contrast, the land area of France is much larger, more than twice that of the British, but the populations of the two countries are almost the same.
Ferdinand didn't bother to look at these false data. According to economists, the economic growth of Britain and France violated the laws of the market, and the artificially hyped economy would have disastrous consequences once the bubble burst.
However, it seems that every economic crisis in the capitalist world is artificially speculated and relied on the market to adjust itself. How can it be possible?
Capital is profit-seeking. Driven by interests, there is nothing that capitalists dare not do. When it comes to economic research, the black hand behind the scenes is the most professional.
"Your Majesty, this is the summary of the government's work in 1925, please have a look!"
Constantine said, while submitting a report to Ferdinand. The government's work summary is certainly not a list that can be put down. The list delivered to Ferdinand is only a catalog.
The detailed work situation, if put together, I am afraid that no room can be piled up, Ferdinand does not have the time to study it carefully.
I scanned it briefly. Like previous reports, there was nothing new, nothing more than industry, agriculture, education, medical care, and economy.
What makes him concerned is that Bulgaria's agricultural development speed has begun to fall behind. Even if he has increased agricultural investment, the agricultural development speed has been surpassed by other industries.
If nothing happens, the gap will continue to grow in the future, and the gap between industry and agriculture will continue to expand.
"Prime Minister, have you noticed that in 1925, Bulgaria's agricultural output increased by only 8%, which also included our newly developed arable land.
If after deducting this part, the actual agricultural excess growth rate will be lower, does it also mean that our rural economy has now reached its limit? Asked Ferdinand
"Your Majesty, this is an inevitable result. The rapid growth of our agriculture in the past few years was based on the large-scale land reclamation of military aristocrats. Now that their land has almost been reclaimed, the rapid growth has naturally stopped.
As for our rural economy, the development potential is no longer large, and some economists even believe that our rural economy will go backwards in the future.
From the perspective of income growth rate, in 1925, farmers' income growth rate was only 1.2%, while the average wage growth rate of the whole society remained at about 5.3%.
If nothing is wrong, Bulgaria’s agricultural population will drop by half in less than 20 years. Due to the difference in income, many agricultural populations will turn into industrial populations!
Our land structure will also change, and the situation of land mergers will become more serious. A large amount of land will be gathered in the hands of a few people, which has become a development trend. "Constantin analyzed
Ferdinand said a little bit. He also knew these things. With the development of science and technology, integrated agriculture is the future development direction, and the small-scale peasant economy has no development prospects.
Although farmers in Bulgaria now have a per capita arable land area of up to 19.5 hectares (one hectare equals 15 acres), in some areas they are all landlords, they still cannot prevent this from happening.
Well, the average data is not reliable. Bulgaria’s nobles have tens of thousands of hectares of land. Bulgarian agricultural companies hold tens of millions of hectares of land, so they are averaged. It is very nonsense to farmers.
In fact, farmers’ land holdings are very small, accounting for only 5.7 percent of Bulgaria’s total land, so that most people’s land holdings are around 1 hectare.
This is also an inevitable result. Although Bulgaria’s population growth rate is very fast, it does not mean that the population of farmers is also growing very fast.
Although the birth rate in the rural areas is the highest, most of these people choose to leave when they reach adulthood. Except for the eldest son who inherits the family business, everyone else has to go out to earn a living.
Moreover, there are still a large number of immigrants in Bulgaria. Ferdinand has not turned them into farmers, let alone the stupid thing of granting land. Most of these people have turned into workers.
As of 1925, Bulgaria’s agricultural population still did not exceed 8 million. This is the calculation of rural Xinsheng babies. If deducted, the number would be even lower, perhaps less than 5 million. .
There is no difference in household registration between urban and rural areas in Bulgaria. It may only take a day to transition from a farmer to a worker, and to transition from a worker to a farmer, you only need to purchase a piece of land.
In this sparsely populated country, restricting the population to settle down is completely nonsense.
There is no interest to compete, and the Bulgarian government will naturally not make restrictions.
Education is elitist education. It is not a genius no matter how hard it is, it is impossible to enter a university. It is just to complete compulsory education, and there is a big difference in the quality of education.
Not to mention medical resources. First of all, you must have money. The medical expenses in this era are simply not affordable for ordinary people. There is no money to fight for and it is useless!
It is very simple to change your household registration in Bulgaria. As long as you live in a place for three years, have a legal income, and have no criminal record, you can settle down.
"Prime Minister, has the government ever considered that if the income of farmers is increased, it must be known that as the economy continues to develop, many rural people will become poor in the future due to the gap between industry and agriculture!" Ferdinand thought for a while.
"Your Majesty, this issue is very complicated. Unless they can increase the amount of land they occupy, the increase in income will be very limited only by increasing the output!
Even if it is to switch to cash crops, it is not so easy. Because of social supply and demand, the prices of other economic agricultural products are difficult to stabilize except for the staple agricultural products such as wheat and potatoes. Even if the government provides guidance, there is no way to solve the problem.
For example, the price of apples this year is very high, but when everyone has planted apples, the apple harvest will be harvested three to five years later. Due to the increase in production, the price will naturally decline. In the end, not only did it fail to help the fruit farmers, but they suffered even greater losses. "Constantin explained
Ferdinand nodded. This is an inevitable result. Unless a planned economy is engaged in, it is inevitable to adjust according to the laws of the market.
"Well, this is a very serious social problem. If nothing happens, our rural population will become poor in twenty years.
We have to make preparations in advance, such as: guiding them to work in cities, selling or contracting land; areas with special conditions can also develop special industries suitable for the local..." Ferdinand thought for a while and said
Entering the mid-twentieth century, the issue of farmers' income is a worldwide issue. In contrast, Bulgaria’s problems are relatively small.
Due to several wars, many farmers in Bulgaria evolved into military aristocrats. After the rise of these people, they basically went to the fief.
Their departure made the local land tension no longer exist and eased the contradiction between people and land. Otherwise, this issue won't have to wait twenty years. Ferdinand will now consider the urban-rural income gap.
Although in the long run, it is an inevitable choice of the times that the income of the working class exceeds that of the peasant class, but in the short term, the living standard of the peasants is still higher than that of the workers.
"Your Majesty, the conditions are still immature. Judging from the current economic situation in Bulgaria, it is too early to develop the tertiary industry. Our domestic tourism industry, which has just started, is still struggling.
It is easy to create tourist attractions, but it will not be profitable in the short term. People's income is still very limited and their enthusiasm for tourism is not high.
As for other special industries, the Ministry of Agriculture has actually been engaged in the cultivation of some special products according to local conditions, but the current output value is limited.
The most representative one is the Rose Industrial Park that you personally explained, but this kind of success cannot be replicated, and other regions do not have this particularity! "Constantin explained
Ferdinand nodded. Not all industries can create an industrial chain. For example, roses are a special industry in Bulgaria. Although they exist in other places, there is no way to compare with Bulgaria in terms of quality.
This is the core factor for the success of Ferdinand Rose Industrial Park. The world knows that Bulgarian roses are the best, and the brand value has been born.
Whether choosing rose essential oil, rose beverage or rose wine, the first reaction of ordinary people will think of Bulgaria.
God's back garden is the best advertising message!
Under the operation of Ferdinand, this sentence has penetrated into the hearts of the people. The additional brand value ~EbookFREE.me~ reflects the benefits. The success of the Rose Industrial Park is not as simple as it seems.
In contrast, the wine industry chain that Ferdinand is still operating has a much worse development front, and its profitability is even more incomparable.
The French wine brand has been established, Bulgarian wine can only be subordinated, although it is not a winner takes all, but the winner still takes the largest share.
It is impossible to achieve a counter-attack in the short term. Without dozens of hours of effort, it is difficult to establish a Bulgarian wine brand.
If a brand cannot be established, there will naturally be no brand value, and the profit will be very limited.
Finally, the profit is fed back to the grape planting. The profit of the wine is not high, so the income of the fruit grower who grows the grape is naturally not high.
Ferdinand recalled that on such a large country as Bulgaria, there were also those special products and those agricultural products that could be promoted internationally. In the end, he discovered that there are many things, but not many have economic value.
For example: handmade leather shoes, handicraft art, corals in Serbia; tourism and fruits in Greece; carpets and dates in the Arabian Peninsula; plant resources in Asia Minor...
These industries may have room for development in the future, but at this time they do not have any economic value.
People all over the world are not rich yet. Isn't it nonsense to develop these industries? Can’t eat enough, who is interested in traveling?
Tourism cannot develop. Who can sell these industrial souvenirs?
The same is true for fruits. There are too few people with the ability to consume. Most people can only afford local cheap fruits. High-end imported goods are too luxurious.
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